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michaelg 30th November 2011 11:40 AM

Something Interesting?
 
I've generally found that Don Scott's market can often be quite surprising so I decided to compare his fave with the fave in the Tele's pre-post market.

I've only got a sample of two days but from what I can see there might be some sort of consistency

If the fave in D.S's market is less than $3 and it also happens to be the fave in the Tele, then the each-way results over the two days are not bad.

There were 11 selections for eight winners returning $27.00.
From the 11 selections there were 9 placegetters for a return of $14.34. The two unplaced selections ran fourth.

Let's see how today's selections fare.

Dombeen
1/2
2/5

Port Lincoln
1/1

Ballarat
2/2
8/1

Bunbury
1/11
5/1

michaelg 30th November 2011 05:49 PM

Not a bad day. From the six selections (one was a late scratching) there were two winners for a TAB return of $8.00 ($9.83 with betfair S. P. which includes their 5% commission), and five placegetters for a TAB return of $7.18.

UselessBettor 30th November 2011 05:52 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
Not a bad day. From the six selections (one was a late scratching) there were two winners for a TAB return of $8.00 ($9.83 with betfair S. P. which includes their 5% commission), and five placegetters for a TAB return of $7.18.

nice work.

michaelg 1st December 2011 10:24 AM

Thanks, U.B. let's hope it continues.

Ten selections today.

Hawkesbury
3/7

Seymour
4/4
5/2

Rocky
1/1
2/2
4/4
6/1

Pinjarra
1/2
2/2
3/7

michaelg 1st December 2011 04:08 PM

A losing day.

I've noticed that the results are improved if TAB no.1 is not included. Yesterday there were three TAB no.1 selections for no winners and two placegetters for a return of $2.72.

Today there were two selections that were TAB no.1. Neither won nor ran a place.

The method still would have lost. From the 8 selections there were two winners for a return of $5.10, and 6 placegetters for a return of $8.04.

From tomorrow I'll list the selections that are not No.1, and hope.

michaelg 2nd December 2011 10:34 AM

Today's selections are:

Moonee Valley
6/5

Coffs
1/4
3/2

Ipswich
3/2

Mt barker
8/4

Mt Gambier
1/11
2/2

Sun Coast
2/3
3/4


Out of interest, the Tele fave for Pakenham R5 is no.1 at $3.50. It's finishing places in it's last three starts are unbroken by a spell and are 5, 4, 2, so it's got good recent form yet it's $101 in the D.S. market


Again, out of interest today's no.1 selections (I'm leaving them alone) are

Moonee Valley
7/1

Ipswich
1/1
2/1

We'll see how they go.

lomaca 2nd December 2011 10:51 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by michaelg
A losing day.

I've noticed that the results are improved if TAB no.1 is not included. Yesterday there were three TAB no.1 selections for no winners and two placegetters for a return of $2.72.

Today there were two selections that were TAB no.1. Neither won nor ran a place.

The method still would have lost. From the 8 selections there were two winners for a return of $5.10, and 6 placegetters for a return of $8.04.

From tomorrow I'll list the selections that are not No.1, and hope.
Michael You'll find that horses that rate well in the DS rating and were double nominations have a better strike rate.

Not all of course, some were nominated in more places only because they find it hard to get a run in the first place but some are aiming for an easier race.

Just a thought.


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