Lay the Fav using Don Scott
 

This Lay method shows promise.

RULES
Target 9 runner races exactly.
(After scratchings)

Target Don Scott 2nd selection only.

This DS 2nd selection must also be Betfair 1st Fav at jump time.

If it is , we lay it to fall over for us.

Bet 1.5% of bank Flat stakes.

82%SR
29% POT

As we can see, these favs have hit the magic 20% & less area that we need to get into when laying favs to fall over.

The profit goes to 33%POT with 80%SR if price is <=5.00

It also showed a level stakes lay profit if Lay betting not to run a Place of
+13% POT
42% SR
Amazing really, when you think that favs generally get placed 65% of the time .


More data testing may have to be done to see if it has any long term legs, but it is a strong start.

If one does wish to have a go with real money , at least you know the price will be nice & low with only a 20% chance instead of 30% chance of winning.


There were 224 selections for the System
There were 184 which Lost (did not win race) for the System for a strike rate of 82.14%
You had to pay out $147.23 but brought in $212.8 after 5% commission. This means a Profit or loss of $65.57 or a percentage profit/loss of 29.27%

The Rules used were : priceRank < 90 and priceRank >= 1 and priceRank <=2 and donScottRank = 2 and runners = 9