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-   -   The "Joe From Ararat" System. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=23651)

darkydog2002 20th March 2012 09:58 PM

The "Joe From Ararat" System.
 
This one was mentioned in the old Turf Monthly that used to be around years ago.

Won LS (Current Campaign)

$3.50 or under.

UselessBettor 21st March 2012 06:52 AM

It is profitable according to my figures. I used 40 days to define when a spell is taken and thus current campaign. You could play with this figure to work out what suits you best.



There were 72738 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.There were 1039 selections for the System
There were 1019 races for the System
There were 461 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 44.37%
There were $1075.67 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $36.67 or a percentage profit/loss of 3.53%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay <= 3.5 and lastStart = 1 and daysLastStart < 40



Here are the reuslts with no spell.




There were 72738 horse form lines in the database at this point in time. We update when we get time.There were 1188 selections for the System
There were 1161 races for the System
There were 530 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 44.61%
There were $1238.02 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $50.02 or a percentage profit/loss of 4.21%

Test Another System

The Rules used were : WinPriceLay <= 3.5 and lastStart = 1

UselessBettor 21st March 2012 06:54 AM

I thought I would just mention I am using the higher of the figures on betfair for checking the $3.50, but the lower figure to work out profit.

darkydog2002 21st March 2012 09:24 AM

Thank You.
Cheers
darky

Bhagwan 22nd March 2012 02:50 AM

RULES
Don Scott 1
Barrier 5+
LS 40+ days

23% SR
10% POT


There were 332 selections for the System
There were 326 races for the System
There were 75 Winners for the System for a strike rate of 22.59%
There were $366.63 returned for WIN (after 5% commission) which means a Profit or loss of $34.63 or a percentage profit/loss of 10.43%

The Rules used were : barrier >= 5 and donScottRank = 1 and daysLastStart >= 40


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