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moeee 30th April 2012 12:10 PM

Mondayitis
 
I don't feel well handicapping today.
I'll post a few Markets and that will be me for today.

CRANBOURNE Race 4

2 ARVO'S HANNAH $4.4
3 JOHN CONNOR $4.9
7 MINNIE POWER $6.8
8 ARVO'S SPICE $8
1 SCANT REGARD $10
5 AXEMAN $12
6 STORMY AGOGO $15
4 TELL 'EM TOM $20

These 311 metre races usually throw up a different Winner every week.
Back the top selection even though it is not a True 311 dog.

moeee 30th April 2012 01:08 PM

Heres one to test the VIBE
 
BENDIGO Race 8

3 BLACK JACA $3.1
1 DYNAMIC VIEW $3.2
7 BOWL ALONG $8.8
2 TARGET OCTANE $12
5 NANCY JAY $15
6 DIJAMAKA KEEN $18
4 LUKE'S MEDAL $25
8 LOVE OF PARIS $50

The top 3 selections should fill the podium , but I'll take some exotics with others for 3rd and 4th

moeee 30th April 2012 01:38 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
BENDIGO Race 8

3 BLACK JACA $3.1
1 DYNAMIC VIEW $3.2
7 BOWL ALONG $8.8
2 TARGET OCTANE $12
5 NANCY JAY $15
6 DIJAMAKA KEEN $18
4 LUKE'S MEDAL $25
8 LOVE OF PARIS $50

The top 3 selections should fill the podium , but I'll take some exotics with others for 3rd and 4th


$40 Trifecta less $6 to get it and less $5 lost on the Overlay is Profits

Raven 30th April 2012 01:58 PM

Home early.

I really liked Tiger Bomb but not great overs.

Ben R10
2 at $3 to beat 7 $4 & the 8. I hope the 2 can show speed again, overs if it can lead

moeee 30th April 2012 02:21 PM

Gee raven.
You talkin' like you know something about Greyhounds :)

Good onya.
Seems like you might be hanging around for a while.
That would be good.

I can only comment on races that I studied , and those Tier 3 races usually don't do it for me.


CRANBOURNE Race 1

1 MAJAK MAGIC $3.3
3 COOL AURA $4.7
6 PURE RAMPAGE $6.8
8 BLACK MIRANDA $10.4
4 GUPPA GEE $10.6
2 MISS JANNIS $18
5 DOMINIQUE $20
7 INTO THE MIST $22

Another of those blink and you miss it Races.
The second selection has some excellent Healesville Form.
There's not a lot in this event so it may be worth a Quinella with the top selection.

Raven 30th April 2012 02:34 PM

Just no value at Ben today

in R12 I have the 1 & 3 each at $2.85. The 3 should lead so the one to beat. 5 the only other chance at $5.70.

I stayed up late last night trying to work on some flaws in the ratings. You are right, the only way to do it is to rate each race & each dog on its merits. I still do the base ratings to start with, but also convert each time into a rating figure like i would on the gallops, for me it makes it easier to read them.

moeee 30th April 2012 02:59 PM

CRANBOURNE Race 3

1 SCHWARTZ GIRL $4.2
4 MISTER NORRIS $4.4
8 SOOTY SMITH $5.9
7 ZINGARELLA $6.8
5 KRUEZER AGOGO $9
2 SULTIC ANGEL $16
6 ABRASIVE MANNER $20

Just can't get into it today.
They normally have a bunch of Maiden races early and run these flash things in the evening.

Anyway , it looks as though the top 4 selections are clear from the next 4 and that usually means there is a simple Box Trifecta to be got.

moeee 30th April 2012 03:08 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
I stayed up late last night trying to work on some flaws in the ratings.


Yeah - me too.
Not so much flaws , just messing.

Well done with your Bendigo stuff.
3 Box Trifectas there.
No Odds , but that is not the issue - you must be doing something right to get the similar Prices the Public get and that your top selections ran very well.

Look Raven.
Even though we can't all make a Profit in 30 seconds , we still can make a Profit.
How long you spend on a race is irrelevant.
If you can get paid a fair amount for your time , then that is Super.
At the moment I am making like 4 cents per week.
Yes , a little low , but I know I can increase that.
Well I don't know , but I can feel it just around the corner.

The worst thing I am doing is because I spend half an hour studying a race , i feel i am obliged to be paid for that time and try to wager when there simply isn't a wager to be had.

The fortunate thing for me is that I don't find doing the Form a Chore.
Although I am today.

Raven 30th April 2012 03:35 PM

Agree with you re Cool Aura, the #6 hardest to beat with its speed.

Mister Norris is VERY interesting. Its NSW form rates very high with me, hard to compare state v state i guess, but his early pace also rates well. Can lead this, hope that pre-post price holds up!

moeee 30th April 2012 04:02 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Raven
Mister Norris is VERY interesting. Its NSW form rates very high with me, hard to compare state v state i guess, but his early pace also rates well. Can lead this


Okay.
One of us has either learnt something or they haven't , and i know its not me.
Could you tell me how you came up with this animal as having an excellent Chance of Leading?
I have no resources that fill the early speed knowledge of this animal.


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