Longershots for today 2.6.12
 

Warwick Farm

Race 4 4

Sandown

Race 7 2
Race 8 13

Speculatives

Race 6 9

Eagle Farm

Race 5 6
Race 6 10

Speculatives

Race 5 14
Race 7 6,11
Race 8 5,6

Nice work Kellmark.
You are a niche player on the longer shots I see.

Would be interesting to see what they might do to Quaddie divvie!

LG

Good afternoon LG, thanks for your message.

Looking for long shot winners is a passion of mine. Is it more difficult to do that than pick a short priced winner? Probably, if you look at prices of shorter priced winners as a proportion of all winners. It's as much as finding a valid reason why a 25/1 can win as why a 2/1 can't. But if picking winners full stop was that easy the betting agencies would soon be broke.
For Saturdays longershots it's a case of a mechanical system based on form and class. I do Provincial Flutter on Sundays, which is a work in progress, which uses no form analysis at all but still throws up big priced winners. Makes you wonder sometimes. If you keep good records patterns do come up. I use them mostly for exactas, either boxed 4 or 4 and the field. I've collected some whopper divs and am well ahead there.
Good to see others enjoy the extra challenge of finding those surprise winners! Cheers

Nice work, I'll keep an eye on your future longer shot posts
cheers,
Mike