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xanadu 17th April 2003 11:12 AM

A plan I have been researching lately is when one of the leading trainers has only one starter at a meeting. Recent examples have been:
Clowns(Hawkes) won
15.4.03 Chief Jabula(Mayfield-Smith)1st $3.00w $1.50pl
16.4.03 Lord Of Lords(Mayfield-Smith) 2nd $1.60pl
16.4.03 Lilly O'Reilly(Waterhouse) 3rd $1.50pl
17.4.03 Wyong Race6 No6 Music Land(Hawkes)
I intend this plan for all venues so for Melbourne I recommend keeping a watch on the McEvoy, Freedman, Alderson(and any of the top five trainers). Adelaide:-McEvoy and any of the top five trainers. Similarly, Brisbane(top five trainers). NB monitor the Hawkes stable in all venues.
This plan is geared for mid-week and provincial meetings where the top stables take one of their lesser lights to an out of town track "for a kill." The logic is obvious-the top stables would not waste their time and incur the cost to take one runner to the track without an expectation of a collect.
Perhaps some of our readers can also monitor this approach and alert fellow forum members when a likely candidate is running. eg Wyong R6 No6 Music Land today.

Cheers.

yubet 17th April 2003 11:54 AM

Hi Xanadu,

An interesting approach.

Can you assist with the best way to identify the number of runners a trainer is running,as this info is not available for all races in newspapers.

Cheers,Yubet

xanadu 17th April 2003 12:35 PM

G'day yubet,

If you are an account holder with NSWTAB you can access DFS(Daily Form Service)which provides all such details(this requires a bit of scrutiny). I am not a spreadsheet expert but maybe one of our learned forum readers may be able to suggest a way to download these details.

xanadu 17th April 2003 12:39 PM

By the way my recommended ratio of investing is 1unit win, 5 units place, to capitalise on the high proportion of place-getters this plan should achieve and as a form of insurance if our qualifier just gets beaten.

xanadu 17th April 2003 01:24 PM

Yubet,

I have located an excellent site which takes all the work out of this task:
http://www.aapracingandsports.com.au/racing/trainers.
Hope this helps.

Cheers

filthy50 17th April 2003 01:45 PM

guys,
an even easier way is NSW TAB Site (and you don't even need to have an account) for this info....A to Z lists on the LHS of the home page, lists all runners, jockeys, trainers in alphabetical order.
easy as

yubet 17th April 2003 01:57 PM

Hi Xanadu & Filthy 50

Many thanks,your help is appreciated.

Cheers,Yubet

xanadu 17th April 2003 02:51 PM

Well! No luck with Music Land but I think we are on to a very promising method here. It did rain prior to and during this race and it may have affected Music Land's performance but the horse was never sighted.
We will give this plan a trial period and see how it goes but I encourage any readers to highlight when a qualifier may be running, to assist other forum readers.

Cheers.

18th April 2003 09:43 AM

Xanadu,interesting concept mate!See one that stands out tomorrow at Randwick.
R5 No.2 Pietiner
Trainer Colin Alderson
Jockey Nash Rawiller

A very astute trainer,and a very good jockey.highly underated(my humble opinion).Is a last start winner at Flemington over 1200mts.,jumped awkardly,11th on settling(in a field of 12)12th at the 400,won by 1 1/2 lengths.Last 600 in 35.85 on a slow track.
Current odds 17.00
Current favourite Secret Land
Gai Waterhouse,who else.I just hope she doesn't scratch it!Will definitely be on this horse,just hope I haven't jinxed it!!
Cheers mate,keep up the good work.

18th April 2003 09:45 AM

Forgot to mention drops 1kg on last run,so slightly up in class.


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