Here's a Winning System ...
 

..... on paper only !!!!! Are there enuff selections to satisfy you all ?? Consider this ..... If you have 5 years worth of data, that's approx a max potential of 10,000 selections over Melb, Syd, Brissy, Adelaide and WA. Let's say you only look at the quaddie races, the better ones .... now you've only got 5,000 selections. If your system picks an average of between one and two bets at each meeting (and it would still have to be a pretty loose system to do that, one with very few rules !!!), then you're down to 1,500 selections ..... So before I get lambasted about only having 888 selections ..... please think !!

Weight < 54kgs
SP $4 to $30 ..... Not too many winners found over $30
METRO
Career Sts 10 to 20 ..... Still has improvement left in it
Career Wins > 3 ..... Proven winner
Career Win% > 44% ..... Excellent Win% S/R

888 selections
111 winners
POT 3.3%

BTW, you won't win on this system 'coz the POT is waaaaaay to small to cover the vaguries and cyclical nature of racing. But a little tweak here and there and who knows ??

You'll prob get a better answer from others but doesn't seem like much of an edge to me. You've discarded most of the races over 5 years only to achieve a 3.3% POT and a 12.5% SR. This would probably also mean that the POT is being propped up by some outlier winners which may be unlikely to occur again as they have over that 5 year period.

This isn't something i'd use but of interest nonetheless. Maybe someone else will find value in it?

I wish UB's tester was still up and running, theres some things of interest I wanted to check out on it. Unfortunately I don't have the databases etc that some here have.

I,m surprised that you even got that POT since your restricting your bets to the WORST bets - 54 KG or less.

Consider these stats .
Horses at 55 KG + represent 36.5 % of races yet Win 50.6 % -
A HUGE advantage.

Thanks for posting though and welcome back.

Cheers
darky

Why would you be surprised darkydog2002 ?? There's a lot of instances of good young horses with excellent form racing in a higher class than they've previously done ..... so they're down in the weights !! If the Win% S/R wasn't included at all, and the number of wins wasn't included then there's a LOT of 10.7% ..... and I'll bet you're surprised that it's not a whole lot worse than that ! :)

Sorry.
I thought your were writing of Win Betting not Laying (I dont know anything about Laying.

Cheers
darky

Sitting down darkydog2002 ????

Substitute > 55 kgs into the system

1,660 selections
203 winners
LOT of 14.6%

It is about Win betting :)

Darky
I don't doubt these figures at all but wouldn't the average price of the 55kg+ horses be lower than the under 55kg horses?

BINGO !!!!!

You've got to get rid of SOME of the popular filters:)

Nice work SpeedyBen.
Welcome to the Forum.
Hopefully you can enlighten members with more of your observations.
There has been so much nonsense posted by some members who just don't get it.