Don Scott Market
 

Just to pass some time I looked at Don Scott's market (the worksheet on the R & S Website).

I applied the following simple rule.

In D.S's market I hypothetically backed every horse in every race that he quoted under $10 in his market providing that there were a maximum of three of them.

From Sunday there were 63 of these qualifying races for a total outlay of $153 for a return of $153.70.

However I also looked at races where there were only a maximum of two horses under $10 in his market

The result wasn't too bad. There were 31 of these races, and the winner was struck in 17 of them for a strike rate of 54%

More importantly, the total outlay was $45 for a return of $65.20 which is an amazing POT of 44%. A profit was obtained in all three days.

The results shown above are Unitab divvies.

I know three day's results can't be taken too seriously but it might be worth thinking about.

Thanks Michaelg,
Definitely worth looking at.
Cheers
darky

Added that one to my bag of tricks.

Hi, Darky.

I didn't mention this but I think it might also be worthwhile. However unfortunately I didn't keep any records.

In these qualifying races if all horses shown under $20 in his market were boxed in quinellas (didn't look at trifectas) then it might also have been profitable. There were some surprisingly large quins for relatively small outlays.

I always like your thoughts as there based on logic.
Quinella one added also.

I will test both on Country tracks as I prefer these to City meetings.

Cheers and thank you.
darky

What I,ll do is add 1 and use that as my minimum acceptable price (for Value)
i.e
M.Bridge
R 1 H 1 + 4 (Need $3)

Looks like no.1 @$3.20 FIXED

$3.10 now for 4 Fixed

Hi, Darky, hope you won today.

By my reckoning there were 22 selections for a disappointing return on NSW TAB of $16.20.

I believe the quinella outlay was also $22 for a return of $38 and the trifecta outlay was $66 for a return of $179.

These results for the above two forms of exotic betting are when there are only a maximum of two selections that are under $10 in the D.S. market, and then all others under $20 in his market are included for boxed quinellas and trifectas.

I've had a very good day with my two Lay the Field methods, and with one more race to go (Northam R7) I can't lose.

Broke even at M.Bridge with the $5.20 winner in R 4..
Cheers.

I tested a period of 7 days at the beginning of the year using this. It showed a loss of $54 on straight $1 bets.

Might just be a short term trend.