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-   -   odds on (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=2553)

nevets 23rd April 2003 04:19 PM

could someone please furnish me with some figure ie odds on favs win % and if at all possible dollar returns for same
thanks.... nevets



Chrome Prince 23rd April 2003 08:29 PM

ODDS ON FAVOURITES METRO ONLY SINCE Jan 1st 2003.

selections 106
Winners 61
strike rate 57.55%
total dividends $102.10
profit -$3.90
profit on turnover -3.68%
average dividend $1.67

N.B. profit figures include a deadheat on 4th jan King's College at Moonee Valley was showing $1.60 on the tote but paid $.80c for the deadheat.

nevets 24th April 2003 05:47 AM

thanks for that cp

noel 24th April 2003 06:07 AM

those figures illustrate what don scott used to say...over time you would lose the least amount of money backing odds on favourites without any other input and in fact if it wasn't for the tote's takeout you would actually make a profit.....

topsy99 24th April 2003 06:47 AM

yesterdday at pinjarra kennedy was paying $1.90 for a win after being beaten 19.9 lengths last start.
i had it coming up 23 lengths off winning last start weight adjusted.
it ran last.
punters are very bold.

zeditave 24th April 2003 04:56 PM

so shop around... I laid Kennedy at about 2.34 on Betfair yesterday. I remember a horse with the same name about 15 yrs ago in Adelaide... had much more talent!

topsy99 24th April 2003 07:02 PM

my point exactly.
any price about a horse that you think cant win is a good price.
the level of optimism about a horse beaten 20.3 lengths is amazing.
i have tried horses like that at 33/1 but never at odds on.

Chrome Prince 24th April 2003 09:31 PM

Quote:
On 2003-04-24 07:07, noel wrote:
those figures illustrate what don scott used to say...over time you would lose the least amount of money backing odds on favourites without any other input and in fact if it wasn't for the tote's takeout you would actually make a profit.....


Interesting point noel,

In fact if you were able to get better prices on BETFAIR or IASBET, you would also make a profit.
If you could eliminate just a few losers with filters, it would be a great little earner.

partypooper 24th April 2003 11:06 PM

Just wondering, if the stats differ when using pre-post odds on? seems like a perfect place to start when betting to prices, i.e. say from using your chosen pre-post market, (in my case WA TAB-FORM) or say SMH or even a proven ratings service. Then only investing when a better price is on offer.
At worst, we know that about 60% are winners, and at worst we would break even?????

boonchu 29th June 2003 07:41 PM

chrome prince, where do you get stats like that??? thanks


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