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-   -   Unitab - Skyform Singles (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=26241)

Try Try Again 6th April 2013 11:50 AM

Unitab - Skyform Singles
 
Rather than steal Michaelg's thread I thought I'd list the horses that meet these rules

1. List in Overall panel in the Skyform ratings
2. Horse must have a Unitab rating of 97 or above
3. Ignore all Maiden Races
4. Race must only have ONE final qualifier

Moonee Valley
R2#1 lucky Angel
R3#2 Floatmyboat
R4#6 Red Fez
R8#7 Club Command

Rosehill
R2#7 Diva Dee
R3#2 Proverb
R6#1 More Joyous
R7#11 Overeach
R9#9 See The World

Doomben
R1#1 Agitate
R2#1 Onetimeatbandcamp
R7#9 Tokamak

Morphettville
R1#3 Final Command
R6#7 Astro Damus
R7#5 Absalon

Ascot
R4#2 Mendicity
R7#1 Moreish
R8#9 Camporella
R9#5 The Rising

Werribee
R5#11 Jive Music

Kembla Grange
R8#2 Valediction

Taree
R2#5 Duke Of Letchworth
R5#1 Retrial
R6#4 Biscay Sport
R7#2 Blinkin Rules

Goulburn
R1#1 Lucky Morna
R6#2 Relapse

Gold Coast
R4#6 Fallforme
R6#2 Go Johnnie Go
R8#2 Mansfield Park

Total Outlay $30

TheSchmile 6th April 2013 12:25 PM

Best of Luck Try Try Again!!
 
There's definitely some action to be had with this method.

Good to see you back with some more system ideas!!

Try Try Again 6th April 2013 12:34 PM

Thanks TS.

If it wasn't for the ideas thrown up by other contributors I would not have even looked at this.

This is the great thing about forums!

It is a pity we have to put up with all the other rubbish!

Good luck to you today.

michaelg 6th April 2013 01:03 PM

Hi, Try.

The original rules as you outlined on another thread you indicated you looked st only the top three selections in the Best Overall panel.

But rule 1 on this thread can be read that the four, not three, in the panel are looked at?

Try Try Again 6th April 2013 02:49 PM

Yes Michaelg,

Only the 3 horses mentioned in the Overall panel are considered.

Try Try Again 6th April 2013 10:19 PM

Well didn't we come crashing down!

Only 6 winners from the 30 selections for a loss of $9.40. Eight seconds could have helped if a few had gone a little harder!

There's always tomorrow, or is there?

Vortech 7th April 2013 06:08 AM

After testing the ratings for 9 months for sky I found the only edge to be made was to categorise the races into Class / Venue / Distance and Field Sizes.

Not just looking at the overall top rated horse but the different variables on offer from the DFS Form. With ratings on DFS, Recent, Time, Best, Distance, Class and Overall there is many options available.

Just takes a long time to collect the data and I didn't know how to automatically do the process.




michaelg 7th April 2013 08:00 AM

Try, the selection is the highest in the Unitab rankings (97-plus points) of the three horses we consider, but it might not be the highest in Sky's Best Overall rankings.

Did you keep records if the selection was the top, second or third highest in Sky's Best Overall rankings, and their points?

For example, the selection might have been the third ranked horse in Best Overall with only one point higher than the fourth ranked, and 10 points less or more than the highest ranked. This would mean that Sky only rates it as having the third best chance in the race closely followed by the fourth, yet Unitab has it on top. One can believe that more credence is attributed to Unitab than Sky?

There are quite a few aspects that an be looked at, but unfortunately Sky removes their info the day after the race, so one bad day does not necessarily mean it's a bad method.

Try Try Again 20th April 2013 11:59 AM

Hi Michaelg,

I have not kept any records.

Today's Selections are

Caulfield (Dead)

R4#3 African Pulse
M5#1 Elite Elle
M6#7 Club Command
M7#7 Union Gap

Morphettville Parks (Good)

R1#1 Tennessee Groom *
R4#7 Bulbula *
R6#1 Linton
R8#8 Katunga

Randwick (Heavy)

R2#2 Major Conquest *
R7#1 Dear Demi
S9#8 Keith's Legacy

Eagle Farm (Slow)

R1#4 Epic
B3#1 Octane Flyer *
B5#1 Discreet
B6#6 Transporter
B7#1 Better Than Ready
B9#5 Ever the Same

Bendigo (Dead)

R3#6 Bold Eavey *
R6#7 Muertos
R7#4 Beyond Infinity

Townsville (Good)

R1#3 Apache Pup
R4#6 Honest Action
R6#6 Passin' Thru

Toowoomba (good)

R1#2 Laredo
R2#5 Aquatorial

Gold Coast (Slow)

R2#1 Flying Riddle
R5#1 Sand Biscuit
R8#1 Sunset Affair

Ascot (Dead)

R7#14 Moreish

Horses with a * indicates 2yo races and I have listed the track conditions to see if this makes a difference with finding winners.

Try Try Again 20th April 2013 07:43 PM

Of the 29 selections today there were 8 winners, 5 seconds and 6 thirds.

For an outlay of 29 units there was a collect of 30.3 units for a profit of 1.3 units.

There were five 2yo races for 2 winners (5.40 & $4.50) and 3 other placegetters.

For the wet track meetings (Slow & Heavy) there were 12 races for 4 winners ($3.80, $5.50, $5.40 & $1.70) and 3 other placegetters.

For the city meetings (ABSMP) there were 18 races for 6 winners ($4.20, $3.80, $5.50, $5.40, $2.60 & $1.70) and 8 other placegetters.

For the country meetings there were 11 races for 2 winners ($4.50 & $2.60) and 3 other placegetters.


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