Last start winners
 

Question - There are lots of last start systems listed on here i was wondering if some one could let me know - 1- the loss on all metro last start winners and 2- the loss on metro last start winners with 2 wins or more, after spell.
This would mean going for 3td win or more in that prep.

I take it you mean last start metro winners racing again on metro tracks?

18.28% Strike Rate
14.78% Loss On Turnover

For the second question as a guide, I'll give you won last two starts from a spell and third up this time on metro tracks.

28.14% Strike Rate
10.56% Loss On Turnover

That wasnt quite what i was looking for but good anyway thanks.

So to explain better it dosent matter where the wins were by metro i ment running at a B/S/M/A city meeting not country or prov.

By winning 2 wins this prep = x9101 two wins this prep and won last start ,dosent matter how many runs this prep just two wins or more this prep and won last start.

Last start winner and only one win this prep x651 i does not matter how many runs 1,2,7,9 but only win last start this prep.

I was wondering if there was any diffrence to backing last start winners with the i win verses 2 wins this prep i will say yes ??? - its properly not much but its one of those things you sort of notice but you mind remembers what it wants or what you want to see not like a data base at all.

I have no idea how hard it is to run somthing like this so thanks if you can or cant.

Hi Ianian,

I don't know if this helps but last start winners is something I follow for Saturday metropolitan meetings in M,S,B & A.

The results from 26 November 2011 until 15th June 2013 were:-

4917 bets
752 wins
15.3% S/R
Loss $122.07 units
LOT -2.5%

The dividends I use are best of Top Flucc and 3 totes (Luxbet).

Using one elimination rule of Days Since Last Start (DSLS) - I'll keep this to myself can turn this into a profitable play.

1314 bets
271 wins
20.6% S/R
Profit $187.84
POT 14.3%

I use other rules to improve the profitability but that is my preference.

As for your other question I only list the horses past 4 starts so I can not give you a meaningful answer on whether the horse has won more that one win this preparation.

Thanks Try Try Again, so just to be greedy and every bit of info helps how did it go if they had won 2 of there last 4 if possiable thanks. 1991 or 9911 or any combo of 2 wins in there last 4 ending in a win last start.

Hi Ianian,

For horses that have a had at least 2 wins (i.e. 2,3 or 4 wins) in past 2,3 or 4 starts (depending on where spell was listed)

1799 bets
312 wins
17.3% S/R
Loss 21.25 units
LOT% 1.2%

For horses that have only 2 wins in past 2,3 or 4 starts (depending on where spell was listed)

1389 bets
230 wins
16.6% S/R
Loss 15.15 units
LOT% 1.1%

Hi Ianian,

Just a little further to my last post. If you apply the DSLS rule the following result is obtained to the 2 win only qualifiers:-

419 bets
90 wins
21.5% S/R
Profit 61.90 units
POT% 14.8%