Testing an Outsider Lay Place System
 

This is Lay only for the Place because the profit per race is generally much greater than the profit when laying for the Win. The selections are:

Wyong
5/7
6/10
7/5
8/13

W'bool
1/7
4/7
5/11
6/7
7/12
8/19

Rocky
2/6
3/8
6/10
7/4

Wagga
2/16
3/2
5/5
6/15
8/16

Bunbury
1/5
2/10
5/14
6/9
7/13

There were 20 smiles from the the 21 selections for a profit of $93.49. I also layed them not to win their individual races for a profit of $32.11. A good day.

Today's Lay selections are:

Wagga
2/11
3/14
4/17
5/13
6/14
7/10
8/22

Bendigo
2/5
3/11
5/18
6/16
7/18
8/19

Sun Coast
1/13
2/16
3/10
4/13
5/17
6/13
7/15
8/17

M'brook
1/8
2/10
5/8
6/10
7/3


I'll be laying them to both Win and Place.

Amendment - because no 13 Sun Coast R1 has been scratched it has been replaced by No.10.

A bad day. Laying for a Win lost $19.85 and for the Place lost $18.08.

Today's selections:

Hawkesbury
1/6
3/4
4/16
5/12
6/10
7/15
8/11

Caulfield
2/7
3/13
4/7
5/13
6/7
7/5
8/13

Ipswich
2/17
3/8
4/10
5/7
6/13
8/16

Morphetville
1/12
2/8
4/9
5/14
6/6
7/10
8/14
9/16

Newcastle
1/7
2/9
4/11
5/10
6/7
8/1

Gold Coast
1/6
2/21
3/6
4/9
5/19
7/7
8/8

Ballina
1/7
2/11
3/1
4/7
5/18
6/3

Belmont
2/7
3/6
4/4
5/10
6/9
7/5
8/13

Toowoomba
1/10
2/10
3/10
4/11
5/7
6/4
7/9

Lots of action - so it's probable today will wither make or break the method.

I've now obtained the selections for Ballina. They are ;

3/9
4/13
5/12
6/2
7/11
8/3

Unfortunately yesterday did beak the system. There were only 2 accidents from the 64 selections but it resulted in a loss because the 62 smiles were very low. And there were 13 accidents for the Place system. One of the divvies on Unitab paid $24.60 and another $15.60.

Today I'm starting a new method which I will show on another thread - it will be a Back for a Place method on Betfair ($5.00). The selections will be those that I would have layed for a Place, so it's a reverse situation. Yesterday there would have been 13 successes from the 64 selections. On Unitab the profit would have been about 90% so I expect the profit would have been even higher on Betfair.

It would be expected to have a very low strike rate but hopefully very high payments. I expect to give the method a few days before I possibly think about reverting back to laying.