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-   -   Test On Favs (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=31147)

Shaun 11th June 2016 12:22 PM

Test On Favs
 
Is anyone able to test this for me, if the horse was fav this start i am looking for some kind of percentage if it doesn't win then then how it performs in it's next starts before a spell, so the win percentage before a spell, hope i explained what i am looking for and if it is possible to get.

blackdog1 11th June 2016 01:23 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Shaun
Is anyone able to test this for me, if the horse was fav this start i am looking for some kind of percentage if it doesn't win then then how it performs in it's next starts before a spell, so the win percentage before a spell, hope i explained what i am looking for and if it is possible to get.


I have the flag for fav in my database as I'm sure CP does too, but not quite clear on what you want.

Lets's see if I interpret this right:

Take the past runs of horse between spells.

Look at horses' last start where it was a fav and follow it to his next spell, (give # of days you regard as spell or let up) and find out what its S/R is in that period?

Is this you want?
But what if it was fav more than once in those intervening races?

blackdog1 11th June 2016 01:41 PM

On the other hand I leave this to others, too busy to set it up.
CP most likely could do it in a flash.

Shaun 11th June 2016 01:57 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by blackdog1
I have the flag for fav in my database as I'm sure CP does too, but not quite clear on what you want.

Lets's see if I interpret this right:

Take the past runs of horse between spells.

Look at horses' last start where it was a fav and follow it to his next spell, (give # of days you regard as spell or let up) and find out what its S/R is in that period?

Is this you want?
But what if it was fav more than once in those intervening races?



Ok lets forget the spell part, i just want to know a runners performance after being fav, is it more or less likely to win and at what av price.

My idea is to isolate a fav runner for today and follow it in a stable for a period of time until it wins or reaches the max amount of time i wish to follow it for.


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