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Profitable Value Lays on Betfair
Ive started putting together some live streams around lays. Might be worth posting here if anyone is interested.
13/07/24 Caulfield 1 8 13/07/24 Caulfield 5 19 13/07/24 Caulfield 9 2 13/07/24 Randwick 3 11 13/07/24 Randwick 3 13 13/07/24 Randwick 4 15 13/07/24 Randwick 7 14 Don't feel right putting a link directly to the page but if you are interested in the analysis you can find it on my channel winningsportsbettingadvice on youtube. |
lays
Good to see you posting UB, and 100% S/R. Re: MR5-19, no way could I lay that one though got shuffled back last run, and 3 runs prior as follows:
2nd last run beaten .5 length 3rd last run beaten 1.6 lengths 4th last run beaten 2.6 lengths and Jye Mcneil on board today easy after the race eh? |
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I find the method I use is good enough to get a few % profits over time but its slow progress. |
Apologies I forgot to post todays ones here but they were online in the live stream before the races:
14/07/24 Wodonga 1 3 14/07/24 Wodonga 2 13 14/07/24 Wodonga 6 8 14/07/24 Wodonga 7 8 14/07/24 Wodonga 7 12 14/07/24 Wodonga 8 11 14/07/24 Ballarat 1 2 14/07/24 Ballarat 4 12 14/07/24 Ballarat 4 13 14/07/24 Grafton 1 15 14/07/24 Grafton 1 16 14/07/24 Grafton 1 17 14/07/24 Grafton 4 10 14/07/24 Grafton 4 15 14/07/24 Grafton 5 14 14/07/24 Grafton 6 21 14/07/24 Grafton 7 18 Quite a few of these were above my maximum odds . But even without that sitting at 100% Strike Rate still (you would expect that with these odds so that isn't exactly a flex lol ). |
and again
100% again SB, just what I expect.
Difference between us is that I'm looking for long shots that could win, whereas you're looking for long shots that can't. |
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Pretty much, and both ways work. |
usually
well, I've had a few spectacular wins especially with BF, but it can be a long time between drinks, I suspect in your case the opposite?
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yep steady profits and then a short time of absolutely horrible runs that give back a good percentage but overall it works for me and I make a long term profit. |
For those interested here is the analysis for todays races which was live streamed today:
https://youtube.com/live/ILDpmz_x6yE?feature=share Laying for $30 each on these ones: 20/07/24 Rosehill 2 10 20/07/24 Rosehill 2 16 20/07/24 Rosehill 2 19 20/07/24 Rosehill 5 13 20/07/24 Rosehill 6 5 20/07/24 Rosehill 6 8 20/07/24 Rosehill 6 10 20/07/24 Flemington 1 8 20/07/24 Flemington 1 9 20/07/24 Flemington 3 9 20/07/24 Flemington 3 15 20/07/24 Flemington 8 15 20/07/24 Eagle Farm 4 14 20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 5 20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 7 20/07/24 Eagle Farm 7 14 20/07/24 Morphettville 2 13 20/07/24 Morphettville 2 15 20/07/24 Morphettville 5 6 20/07/24 Morphettville 7 14 20/07/24 Belmont 1 7 20/07/24 Belmont 1 4 20/07/24 Belmont 5 14 20/07/24 Belmont 6 9 The live stream has the max odds which I would take. |
Well 100% strike rate so far (not surprising with the odds so don't read anything into that yet).
Results and analysis into todays selections and a look at some Jockey stuff: https://youtube.com/live/tzt1X-YbqFM?feature=share Sundays selections 21/07/24 Pakenham 2 3 21/07/24 Pakenham 3 8 21/07/24 Pakenham 3 9 21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 3 13 21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 5 12 21/07/24 Sunshine Coast 7 19 21/07/24 Hawksberry 4 3 21/07/24 Grafton 1 9 21/07/24 Grafton 1 10 21/07/24 Grafton 8 19 |
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