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-   -   system(sportznut) (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=4645)

easy pick 13th April 2004 08:06 PM

hey sportznut im interested how your systems are going?....easy pick

sportznut 14th April 2004 07:04 AM

Here is my honest assessment:

Outside Barrier Specials - TERRIFIC (but very few bets)
The Topweight System - YUCK
The Number 1 System - YUCK

I don't know what happened to the last two. Murphy's law or the forum curse??? They were going along brilliantly and then all of a sudden.... splat!!!

I currently use about 10 systems and I've dropped those two from my list. I do still look at the selections occasionally and if I think one has a chance I may back it.

I think the Topweight system is actually still in profit since I started using it, but it's going downhill FAST. I have taken an idea from that system to use in another one though. I'm not sure if the Number 1 system is still in profit. Somehow I doubt it as it suffered a very bad run of outs.


[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-04-14 08:27 ]

darkydog2002 14th April 2004 08:33 AM

SPORTZ.I think you do yourself a diservice.

All systems using BET SMARTER AND WIN
TOP WEIGHT 14/2-10/4 outlay $335 nett $260.20
p.o.t 77.6%
OUTSIDE BARRIER LOSS $ 61.40.Same dates
NO 1 SYSTEM Same dates.outlay $120 nett $134.90 p.o.t 112.4%

I have strictly stuck to Saturday Metrop .
Cheers
Darcy.


sportznut 14th April 2004 11:43 AM

You're kidding!

I know the Topweight and Number 1 systems have certainly done better on Saturday metro racing than on the midweekers, but your figures still surprise me. I had pretty much given up on them. Perhaps I'd better have a rethink.

I don't suppose you could list all of the selections that you actually backed in that period of time??? :smile:

[ This Message was edited by: sportznut on 2004-04-14 13:33 ]

darkydog2002 14th April 2004 12:52 PM

SPORTZ.Sorry mate but since I use the power of 10 from BET SMARTER AND WIN they are just numbers to me.I dont list the actual horse.
The figures are totally accurate but I dont bet W.A races, only the Eastern states.
Syd /Melb/Bris /Adel.
I also didn,t do Metrop midweeks.
Keep up the good work .I like them .
Cheers.
Darky.

sportznut 14th April 2004 01:22 PM

That's okay.

I've noticed that almost all of my systems perform better on Saturday metro races, and I don't bet on Perth racing either.

Anyway, I'm glad that you're doing well with them. I hope it continues. :smile:

darkydog2002 14th April 2004 01:44 PM

Yep.Better quality horses racing around on the Saturday meetings.
If you consider that a good horse racing in a saturday Metrop wins on average 1 in 6 races you can imagine the figures on the rest of the donkeys.

good 4th 14th April 2004 09:17 PM

Hi Darky,
Sorry to bug ya...
What avg price are you using for the P.O.TEN
AND WHAT DIVISORS?
Also how much is your target using these systems?

Cheers
GD4TH

darkydog2002 15th April 2004 07:33 AM

Good4th.
The formula is
expected win odds x exp strike rate x.08(thats point 08)= maximum divisor.
Your minimum divisor is Equal to your expected win odds.
My recommendation is that to take $100 over 10 bets the bank required is $4000.
Hope that helps.
Cheers.
darky.


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