I have been trying out a new plan of attack to try and get some of my cash back from the bookies....what i am doing is selecting some horses that i think will win eventually backing them from a spell or or atleast no wins from a spell....i am trying to get back a set profit plus any incurred bets along the way...so far thing are a little slow as i refine the selection method i will post the list of horses here and and when one is racing i will post....lets see how things go
this is my list i have been backing all these horses i will update this list as i make changes

BIAGGIO
BRADSHAW
CLOCKWORK ORANGE
DELVECCHIO
KELLYSONG
POLAR SUCCESS
TINTAGEL
WAGER




[ This Message was edited by: Shaun on 2004-05-08 22:02 ]

[ This Message was edited by: Shaun on 2004-05-22 12:20 ]

Delvecchio Sandown Race 08
Clockwork Orange Belmont Race 06

Hi Shaun

There was a method i read about some time ago.

It was to follow an animal for 5 starts. They had there own way to identify there selection which i didnt go any further with.

However the staking was as follows:
1st start $5
2nd.......$10
3rd.......$15
4th.......$20
5th.......$25

The concept was that from the stable of horses they targetted a win would result in five starts with any one of the horses.


regards
ubetido

[ This Message was edited by: ubetido on 2004-05-23 11:32 ]

Hi Shaun,

Tried this method for about six months using the AAP black book feature to remind me by e/m when the horses were running.

I lost heaps.

Cheers.

i recall years ago declaring that the horse that won the hobartville was always a good horse.

this is one of my gripes with sydney racing over the years the winners of key races has become far less meaningful.

in fact the longevity of many horses success wise is not what it used to be either.
many are now one day wonders.
this type of system is hazardous due to the above.
biaggio is an example he is running on reputation only and wont be getting any of mine.
as becareful would say "becareful"

Yes i can see where you guys are comeing from....isn't it amazing when trying to find these horse they look good....but like you say they are running on rep only....i am refineing the select process and the good thing is because i am backing to get a set profit plus losses i am not laying out to much...but i do need some winners to come in to make this work....this is the new selection process i have so far must be 3yo to 5yo with a 30%+ strike rate trained by one of the countries top 5 trainers.....i am thinking of upping this to 40% i am working on something else right now no won't be adding any of these horse for a little while untill i get some money back from the first set

Rah Rah Shaun,

The filters I used for past runs where pretty good too [if only the future runs had been as good !].

Still, nothing like first hand experience. Go for it mate.

Cheers.

Blimey, I'm repeating myself here [posted double, so did a scrub].

[ This Message was edited by: crash on 2004-05-23 21:54 ]

Recently on this forum there has been a thread on roulette and mentioned was how dangerous it was to bet against a run as it may last forever hypothetically. This is the risk punters take when they bet and increase their bet until they find a winner, to win a set profit. When it gets to the stage you have backed 10, 20, or 30 losers in a row your to win your initial set profit could be 1000000 to 1 on. Of course the punter would probably run out of funds before it gets to this stage, hence the system would collapse. The only way to beat the house is to pick your one spin and bet big, as applies to horseracing find your 'special' and have a go.

Cheers ED

This is way different from roulette do numbers have form do numbers have a trainer do numbersd have ability do numbers have different prices for each spin....i don't think so...what is worse trying this system out or getting out of bed grabing the paper on the way to the tab and betting in every race