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-   Horse Race Betting Systems (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/forumdisplay.php?f=10)
-   -   A very simple system (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=5295)

nickhanlon406 30th June 2004 03:18 PM

This has got more to do with value over S/R.
First,buy The Australian or a paper with the pre-post odds displayed.
Second,identify the top 4 chances.As you know,the top 4 win approx. 80% of the time.
Third,only bet on horses which are double the pre-post odds.
Eg. 1.40 becomes 2.80.{Yes,I know your profit is 4.5 times the pre-post odds,but that's precisely my point.****
I've been out of the country for a while so I've never actually tried it but if someone is willing to test it then good on you.Anyway,remember always to have fun,or sanook as we say in Thailand.
Nick.

partypooper 6th July 2004 06:29 PM

nickhanlon406

Even using the VERY best ratings services the double overlay (working at the track) only just makes a profit, according to the Punters Choice mag or at least that was the case the last time I bought it. So I doubt very much that the pre-post market could turn a profit.

By the way...... was that SA Nooky??



kenchar 6th July 2004 06:53 PM

I dunno about a SAnooky, but a NSWnooky is 100 mg of viagra have a shower, wait half an hour and WOOPEE :grin:

Mr. Logic 6th July 2004 09:27 PM

If the ratings were accurate - eg even money means winning 50% of the time, then getting 2/1 on an even money chance should return a solid profit on turnover.

Eg on 2 $100 bets you outlay $200 and get back $300 for 50% POT.

What it shows is that the ratings are inaccurate. I reckon some pricing services (all?)probably deliberately put prices short so they can claim an 8/1 winner rated 2/1 etc..

partypooper 7th July 2004 01:08 AM

Kenchar, good on ya, didn't work for me..... I mean NUTH'IN!!????

Mr Logic that didn't work iether!!

[ This Message was edited by: partypooper on 2004-07-07 18:49 ]

[ This Message was edited by: partypooper on 2004-07-07 18:51 ]


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