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-   -   Trying Something different. (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6504)

xptdriver 2nd December 2004 11:13 AM

Trying Something different.
 
Gday All,

I am working on some new ratings to see how they go.. These are untried so I am only posting them as an experiment for a while. They may very well be garbage, but I will just wait n see. Again lots of caution.

Thursday - 2 December (20 Races)

CRANBOURNE

RACE 4 3:20pm Jayco Hcp Class 3
3 100 Ford's Creek
8 78 Road To Recovery
5 77 King Precieux
6 77 Footy

RACE 5 4:00pm Forstaff Country Showcase Hcp Class 4
6 100 Signal Swish
3 90 Hong Kong Cheri
8 86 Danvyssa
7 81 Ascot Lane

RACE 6 4:40pm Pottie's Hcp Class 2
4 100 Roy's Gift
3 83 Apres Moi
7 63 Boys Berry
11 63 She's Our Rosie

HAWKESBURY

RACE 2 1:20pm Zadro Constructions P/L Hcp-Class 2
3 90 My Chalee
2 89 Prima Nocte
4 72 Spot Of Trouble
1 63 Rochambeau

RACE 4 2:30pm Retravision Metro Group Hcp Class 3
1 100 Lord Intrepid
2 74 Blushing Meadow
6 64 Slipstream Gold
3 64 Galway Grey

RACE 6 3:40pm Hawkesbury Guineas 3yo Listed Race Handicap
Apprentices Cannot Claim
1 100 She's In Demand
3 83 Loftily
2 73 Roadagain
7 34 Second Guess

RACE 7 4:20pm Chippy's Food Transition Hcp
1 86 Cosmic Rays
8 80 After Class
3 79 Spinjester
2 72 Sunset Run

RACE 8 5:00pm Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup
3yo+ Group 3 Handicap Apprentices Cannot Claim
1 92 Fiery Venture
2 91 Stoway
5 67 Derby Parade
7 62 Padfoot Charlie

RACE 9 5:40pm Panthers Rendezvous Final Hcp Class 5
2 86 Magic Quest
3 86 Radetzky March
5 83 Diamonic
8 68 Green Sun

PORT LINCOLN

RACE 3 1:50pm Capitalcorp Hcp 3yo Class 2
1 94 Yarterbery
2 80 King Of The Stalls
6 44 Fifth Avenue
3 44 Raptorette

RACE 4 2:25pm Kym Clark General Builders Hcp Open
2 100 Baudin
5 70 Seattle Ken
4 70 Chickaloo
6 65 Imelda Sea

RACE 5 3:00pm Bennie's Bldg Co. Pty Ltd Class 3
2 84 Uralla
3 78 Winthorpe
5 72 Sea The Post
1 71 Lincoln Sea

RACE 6 3:40pm Dulux Acra Tex Flying Hcp
1 100 Gil Echo
4 79 Puravalour
7 65 Digbury
5 59 Fear Reign

RACE 7 4:20pm Readymix Hcp Class 4
8 97 Sea Ransom
2 87 Kelmark
7 86 Miracle Gold
6 84 Echo Bound

TOWNSVILLE

RACE 1 12:25pm Rash Action Hcp Class 4
3 100 Into The Trees
5 86 Mr. Lucio
1 86 Don Sequalo
2 81 Elasticity

RACE 2 1:00pm Q R S E-Jacob's Creek Plte-Class 3 Hcp
2 100 Final
1 84 Cordial Kid
5 64 Skyways
4 54 Emiliano

RACE 3 1:35pm Semitwest Hcp Class 6
5 86 Premium Dry
1 76 Esdene's Sequel
2 59 Rory's Typhoon
4 50 Mestengo

RACE 5 2:50pm Q T I S - Cornish Family Hcp 3yo Class 2
1 100 Power Of Now
4 74 Emmabee
2 71 Resounding Victory
3 37 Dear Jilly

RACE 7 4:10pm Tolga Town Hcp Class 2
1 81 Cyberport
6 73 Epona's Bonus
8 71 Flying Beauty
4 59 Exhort

RACE 8 4:50pm Q R S E-Corlands Stud Open Weight For Age
Apprentices Cannot Claim
2 100 Junkets
8 81 Strictly Fast
9 67 Strictly Smart
10 62 Well Informed

sportznut 2nd December 2004 11:25 AM

Thanks a lot XPT. Let's see how they go.

Paddy 2nd December 2004 11:54 AM

Good to see you back & posting xptdriver!

Filante 2nd December 2004 12:48 PM

G'day xpt,

I liked checking your ratings when you've put them up in the past - often nice results - but then you vanished!

These ratings look a bit dubious to me - particularly the last two races at Hawksbury - no Langborghini in the eighth? (admittedly up in class, but sure to run well the way he finishes off his races) - and in the ninth Radetzky March rates clear of the field in my view (winner at the track + nicely drawn + 1400m ideal + promising horse on the up).

Anyway - looking forward to checking the results at the end of the day...then I'll probably have to edit and proclaim you the master...

Cheers

xptdriver 2nd December 2004 01:19 PM

Gday Filante,

Gday paddy and Sportz as well

Yep u are probably right, about Lamborghini and Radetsky. I am tryin 2 different approches to rating at the moment. The ones I posted plus another. Just for interst I will post you the other set of ratings for 2 races you mentioned. Like in the 2nd at Hawkesbury, (where the fav was well and truly overbet, my ratings had the winner rated 2nd, but just 1 point behind.. I think the fav started at about 1/2... Not with my money). i don't think those 2 horses are by any means "shoe ins". Admittedly they rate better doing it the other way. Here are the "other" Ratings:



RACE 8 5:00pm Panthers Hawkesbury Gold Cup
3yo+ Group 3 Handicap Apprentices Cannot Claim
1 72 Fiery Venture
2 65 Stoway
16 63 Langborghini
8 59 Court's In Session

RACE 9 5:40pm Panthers Rendezvous Final Hcp Class 5
1 74 Loftily
3 72 Radetzky March
8 65 Green Sun
5 65 Diamonic

moeee 2nd December 2004 01:42 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Paddy
Good to see you back & posting xptdriver!


This is in no way to be ascribed as to be a put down,but I am grateful that the Avatars are not flying or dancing at the minute.

But I would like to know fromm the Xptdriver,what the difference in ratings means.
That is,does a 100 rating mean itis a kilo better off than a 99 rating?
That sort of thing.
And I also am grateful that you are back posting,Xptdriver.
I have read some of your stuff in searches,and indeed you are a GREAT contributor as far as useful knowledge is concerned.

Filante 2nd December 2004 04:34 PM

Right on the money at Port Lincoln and Townsville; nothing much at Cranbourne and Hawksbury...odd!

xptdriver 4th December 2004 10:39 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by moeee
This is in no way to be ascribed as to be a put down,but I am grateful that the Avatars are not flying or dancing at the minute.

But I would like to know fromm the Xptdriver,what the difference in ratings means.
That is,does a 100 rating mean itis a kilo better off than a 99 rating?
That sort of thing.
And I also am grateful that you are back posting,Xptdriver.
I have read some of your stuff in searches,and indeed you are a GREAT contributor as far as useful knowledge is concerned.



Gday moeee,

Sorry for the tardiness replying, gotta work a real job.

to answer your question about what the number actually means.. Nothing really.. It is a conversion number from a much greater number, to make the ratings more easily understandable. With the type of ratings I posted I decided to use the ratings figure instead of the price. ( I always used to post a rating expressed as a price- set at about 116%, to represent the TAB take out). the 100 was the top score possible, in most races that is acheived, some it isn't. But sadly those ratings were not as good as I would like so I will keep on fiddling.. a few favs and a decent priced winner, I havent checked but they may have shown a small profit, depending on where you were betting.

Thanks for the kind remarks about some past articles, not sure that everyone would agree tho


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