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-   -   Crazy NBL system (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=6570)

knowledge 8th December 2004 06:46 PM

Crazy NBL system
 
At my betting agency the deadline for betting on Wednesday NBL games is 7.44PM AEST, and the games usually start on FoxSports at about 7.40/7.41 so that gives you 2 or 3 minutes to watch the game and get a feel for the match.

I did this last week, it was a Saturday when Kings played the Hawks. Kings scored first so I had a small bet on them. :p Paid off but might have been lucky.

So today I had a small bet on Cairns as they scored first. Let's see how I go.

Current score: 14-9 to Cairns. :)

knowledge 8th December 2004 08:26 PM

Hunter wins. Oh well. :)

No systems are flawless.

sportznut 8th December 2004 08:28 PM

Yeah, you were right. It was pretty crazy. :)

sparkus8 8th December 2004 08:43 PM

Worth a try though K-man. I wonder why your bookie keeps it open so late??

Mr J 9th December 2004 01:06 AM

you should do some analysis on it. if the team is leading by say 5+ points in the first few minutes is it more likely to win? Maybe. Probally not enough to overcome the house edge though.

knowledge 11th December 2004 06:45 PM

Melbourne vs. Wildcats

I like Wildcats' chances to win this one from the start, but let's see what happens first... remember the system is that I bet on whoever scores first. Melbourne scored first but from a free throw and I don't like their chances.

No bet after all. Let's just see how successful this system can be. I mean anything can win or fail easily in the long run.

Beljulian 12th December 2004 03:42 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by knowledge
Melbourne vs. Wildcats

I like Wildcats' chances to win this one from the start, but let's see what happens first... remember the system is that I bet on whoever scores first. Melbourne scored first but from a free throw and I don't like their chances.

Or have a look at the travelling schedule. The Wildcats only arrived in Melbourne at 1pm for a 7:40pm tipoff (NBL you **************s!) after their Friday night clash in Wollongong.

Quote:
Originally Posted by knowledge
No bet after all. Let's just see how successful this system can be. I mean anything can win or fail easily in the long run.

There's another win for your system. How successful has it been so far?

sportznut 12th December 2004 06:51 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Beljulian
Or have a look at the travelling schedule. The Wildcats only arrived in Melbourne at 1pm for a 7:40pm tipoff (NBL you **************s!) after their Friday night clash in Wollongong.


Yeah, I couldn't believe that. I reckon if you have to travel between games, you should have at least 2 days between games. Like Friday night to Sunday afternoon.

sparkus8 12th December 2004 10:58 AM

Yeah whoever makes the NBL draw needs to be shot.

This round has Cairns playing 3 games in a round for the the third time this year. Yet last round they didn't play a game.

It has Hunter going from a game in Newcastle on Wednesday, to NZ on Friday, then Adelaide on Sunday - hope they cash in on their frequent flyer points.

You also have NZ playing at home on Friday night, then travelling to Cairns for a Sunday game.

And as mentioned earlier Perth only getting to their game a few hours before tip off.

The only reason i don't mind it is because it makes it so much easier to pick winners because the teams who have to travel and back up are usually exhausted.

knowledge 12th December 2004 02:09 PM

you guys are right. Why didn't I think of the travel effect on the players? That's an important factor in their performance. Fatigue can make even the best of players perform badly.

Well system is 1-1 so far. I can only do it on Foxtel games so I'll use it on Wednesday and Saturday evenings.


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