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xptdriver 11th January 2005 11:13 AM

Tuesday's Racing
 
Gday All,

for those who are interested, I have rated today's racing as follows:

As ever look for the value..

Tuesday - 11 January

Albany

Race 1 4:30 PM O'Keefe Paints Class 2 Handicap
3 $3.1 Ulster Miss
1 $4.1 Pretty Witch
4 $5.4 The Westerly Win
5 $9.5 Jungle Jazz
6 $12.7 Moulyinning
2 $16.9 Ser Grill

Race 2 5:05 PM Motel Le Grande Class 5 Handicap
9 $4.0 Profair
5 $5.3 Rare Spice
3 $7.1 Admiral Black
4 $9.4 Centurian Miss
8 $12.4 Lady Mak
10 $16.5 Wildpro

Race 3 5:40 PM A D Contractors Class B Handicap
3 $3.0 Ivory Fan
2 $4.0 Vintage Reign
1 $5.3 Skydad
5 $7.1 Basilon
6 $12.4 Champagne Lizzy

Race 4 6:15 PM St John Ambulance Class B Handicap
2 $3.2 Karri M'Lady
6 $7.5 Pure Treat
11 $7.5 Secret Tribu
3 $9.8 He's So Vain
7 $13.1 Raclamone
10 $17.5 Glissaranto

Race 5 6:50 PM Valiant Drycleaners Set Weight Maiden Stakes 2yo+
9 $2.3 Highbury Belle
1 $9.8 Beyond The Drought
3 $9.8 Private Equity
5 $13.0 St Lazare
6 $23.4 Imavasactoo
4 $23.4 Sarabique

Race 6 7:27 PM Albany City Holden Sprint Open Handicap
5 $3.6 Go Zab Go
7 $6.4 In The Clear
11 $8.5 True And Correct
6 $8.5 Think Safe
3 $11.8 Shy Wild
1 $15.3 Senate Lease

Race 7 8:07 PM Mirror Moon Rst 1 Met Win-LY Handicap
3 $3.1 He For Hidey
4 $4.1 Iron Monger
1 $9.6 Fore Stay
8 $12.8 Polish Pleasure
7 $17.1 Sir Donald
2 $17.1 Heaps Of Class

Benalla

Race 1 1:10 PM Benalla Bowls Club Class 1 Handicap Apprentices Cannot Claim.
3 $2.1 Alcoholic Heiress
5 $6.6 Kingston Lily
6 $8.8 Killarney Breeze
1 $11.7 Like Thunder
2 $16.2 Lilantrace
7 $21.1 Judication

Race 2 1:45 PM Tooheys New Set Weight Maiden Plate 3yo
6 $4.0 Dream Lass
7 $5.3 Kammoora
4 $7.1 Watch The Tycoon
11 $9.4 Theresnothinglycra
10 $9.4 Romantic Dancer
9 $12.3 Pressure Pack

Race 3 2:20 PM Hahn Premium Light Set Weight Maiden Plate 3yo+
1 $4.1 Calypso Kid
8 $7.2 Wicca Wedding
6 $9.6 Belkira
13 $9.6 Bella's Bro
11 $12.7 Raid The Ark
5 $16.9 Tarconti

Race 4 2:55 PM Hides Bakery Class 2 Handicap
3 $4.0 Hubba Hubba
7 $4.0 Tilly's Wedding
2 $5.3 Mr Dominion
6 $7.1 Our Toy
1 $9.3 Creeks Abanker
4 $16.6 Diamond Rains

Race 5 3:30 PM Ryan & McNulty Sawmill Hcp Class 6 Handicap
1 $2.4 Salt Lake Aussie
4 $5.7 Saayeb
8 $7.5 Ford's Creek
5 $10.0 Yonnie
3 $13.3 Brydan
6 $18.4 Alifanfaron

Race 6 4:08 PM Stolz Home Furnishers 3yo+ Fillies & Mares Class 1 Handicap
1 $2.0 Five Points
9 $8.3 Theatre Rose
5 $8.3 Let's Begin
4 $11.1 Black Bikini
8 $20.0 Bambatu
7 $20.0 Show Princess

Race 7 4:43 PM Ryan & McNulty Sawmill Class 3 Handicap
2 $1.9 Danny Boy
6 $8.0 Emitella
8 $10.6 General's Reward
7 $14.7 Dancer's Angel
1 $19.1 Sadler Joh
3 $23.9 Traditional Vain

Race 8 5:18 PM Rob Childs Set Weight Maiden Plate
10 $2.0 Bangand
3 $8.1 Mr Natch
11 $10.8 Vergona
13 $15.0 Costa Marbella
1 $24.4 Back On The Street
8 $32.5 Uncle Wally

Wellington

Race 1 1:27 PM Yellowglen Set Weight Maiden Plate
1 $3.9 Boom Blast
9 $3.9 Crystal Minnow
14 $9.3 The Guest Arrived
6 $12.2 Whatsthesentence
7 $16.3 Flying In The Wind
5 $21.7 No Notes

Race 2 2:02 PM Hermitage Hill Class 1 Handicap
5 $3.6 Lucky Swing
4 $4.8 Singaswewin
3 $8.6 Galway Son
6 $11.3 Mr Music
11 $15.0 Reckless Passion
1 $20.0 Lester Cove

Race 3 2:37 PM Crown Lager Open Handicap
1 $2.6 Caught At Dawn
2 $4.7 Velsontas
4 $6.3 Mister Daylight
3 $11.0 Doctor Danzig
5 $11.0 Piambong Road
6 $14.7 Geemtee

Race 4 3:12 PM Beringer Blass Maiden Handicap
11 $2.4 Miss Bylong
1 $9.8 Nobragnow
14 $9.8 Wild Wolf
8 $18.2 Special Lase
15 $18.2 Just Avaunt
9 $23.6 Aspen Alley

Race 5 3:47 PM Victoria Bitter Class 5 Handicap
4 $2.7 Storm Seeker
7 $4.8 Heroic Fraar
2 $8.4 Ringwraith
3 $11.3 Bally Ryan
11 $20.8 Sriette
12 $20.8 Simmo's Pride

Race 6 4:23 PM Carlton Sterling Class 2 Handicap
2 $4.0 Hot Bake Clarrie
11 $5.3 Schobi Baru
9 $9.5 Asia De Cuba
3 $9.5 Normill
5 $9.5 Avenue Tolda
12 $12.5 Brother Snake

Race 7 4:58 PM Carlton & United Class 4 Handicap
3 $4.6 Red Leader
4 $6.1 Red Marauder
6 $8.1 Sweepers Dream
2 $10.9 Miss Watanabe
5 $14.3 Southern Charm
7 $14.3 Izzwell

Race 8 5:33 PM Carlton Draught Open Handicap
6 $3.9 Jaspared
1 $7.0 Mr. Comedy
2 $9.4 Cool Jude
7 $12.3 Sumagine
4 $16.4 Frame Up
13 $16.4 Worrier

bobd 11th January 2005 11:40 AM

Hi xptdriver. Thanks for putting your ratings on the post. Any advice on using them (beyond seeking price overlays or double overlays)? Eg, do your long term results suggest profitable betting horses rated 3 points or less [or something like that]? Betting ALL your top rated yesterday yielded a good profit//have the top-rated done ok over the long term?

Hope you continue to post them!!!

Regards Bobd

xptdriver 11th January 2005 11:55 AM

Quote:
Originally Posted by bobd
Hi xptdriver. Thanks for putting your ratings on the post. Any advice on using them (beyond seeking price overlays or double overlays)? Eg, do your long term results suggest profitable betting horses rated 3 points or less [or something like that]? Betting ALL your top rated yesterday yielded a good profit//have the top-rated done ok over the long term?

Hope you continue to post them!!!

Regards Bobd



Gday Bob..

I am loathe to advise people how to bet.. that is an idividual decision, as is value. Value is a very personal thing.. I may think a thing rated 1.9 paying
2.3 is a great overlay, where someone else may not. I generally do not take less than $3

Over the long haul, taking the overs has proved a worthwhile excercise. I do not think the ratings are good enough that you could back the top rated horse exclusively, at best you will break even but more likely your bank would wither on the vine. I will have a look back since Jan 1 and see how the top horse has gone, tho I am not confident they would be in profit. But I don't use them that way, I have always looked for the value, the only thing I will say is that I only consider horses rated up to $11 as win bets. The others are there for people who like to take multi quins tris ex's etc.

I hope this helps

bobd 11th January 2005 09:10 PM

Thanks x..., With a fulltime job, I was canvasing the possibility of a selection method across the ratings I can employ at lunchtimes to make and place selections, but I see the logic of looking for value through overlays based on SPs. Still interested in anything you i/d based on your intended examination of the performance of the top rated's since 1 Jan.!

Regards Bob


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