Win % of Fav. in different race Categories
 

I have always coped a bit of flack about my general belief than certain races are poor betting propositions. I'm interested to know what % of favourites win any of or all of the below race categories and the Fav's. average SP price in these categories. If someone has the data bank to work this out, I would be very pleased to know. On the up side for the effort involved, you have an opportunity to prove me misguided !!

1000m races.
F&M races.
Stakes races [all inclusive].
Cup races.
Slow track races [only].
Races with more than 14 runners [all above that amount inclusive].

The fact that we know the overall favourite SR from all races really doesn't tell us a lot, nor can it be used as a guide to selecting the best races to bet on.

Now I have to take up the challenge Crash ;)

Overall S/R 30.44% Avg Price $2.85
1000m races S/R 32.76% Avg Price $2.66
F&M races. S/R 30.95% Avg Price $2.82
Stakes races [see below].
Cup races. (need more info - there are very many classes of cups)
Slow track races [only] S/R 28.49% Avg Price $2.98
Races with more than 14 runners S/R 21.55% Avg Price $3.57

In general as the strike rate goes down the average price goes up to compensate, so the loss remains relatively the same in the longrun.

Just as I suspected. About the same. In fact, the favs in F&M races fared slightly better than overall favs.

Chrome, interesting stuff there, I have been mucking around with my own database recently and have come up with some interesting angles eg. when queried distance winners only I was shocked to see a LOT, so reversed the query i.e. "not a distance winner" and blow me came up with a 28% POT, any explanation?

Also, are you able to put one more query to your database i.e. First up only up to and including 1200m??

Slightly different outcomes, but same trends as Chrome's stats.

Overall: 30.3%
1000m: 33.2%
F&M's: 29.6%
Stakes:30.3%
Slow: 29.2%
>14 Runners: 24.4%

Thanks Guys, I figured the prices would go up or down in relation to Fav. SR but my conclusions as far as selection difficulty would need to be compared to races I HAVE been betting on over the years to draw any conclusions to weather I have been better off.

SR and average price on:

1100m to 2040m Handicaps races with 7- 14 runners.


For the Cups races missed, SR and average price on all Cups races inclusive would be fine as I have been excluding them all.