AUSTRALIAN CUP - 2000M [Group 1] 12 Mar 05 - Flemington
 

1 CASUAL PASS Mathew Ellerton
2 ELVSTROEM Tony Vasil
3 LAD OF THE MANOR (NZ) Roger Hoysted
4 MAKYBE DIVA (GB) Lee Freedman
5 MUMMIFY Lee Freedman
6 NIAGARA FALLS Peter G Moody
7 WINNING BELLE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse

Weights
 

No Horse Trainer Weight
1 ELVSTROEM Tony Vasil 58
2 MUMMIFY Lee Freedman 58
3 CASUAL PASS Mathew Ellerton 58
4 LAD OF THE MANOR (NZ) Roger Hoysted 58
5 MAKYBE DIVA (GB) Lee Freedman 55.5
6 WINNING BELLE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse 55.5
7 NIAGARA FALLS Peter G Moody 55.5

Can the Diva do it with the extra distance. History suggests no, brain says no, heart says maybe. What are everyones thoughts?

Cant see the distance being a problem
i think the result will be same as last time only reversed with the diva winning
cheers

"Heart says maybe"

My heart says Makybe!

The Diva, a special, but only if its not too hot and the track is not too hard.

and Elvis is not to good :)

Has Elvis any more improvement ? he seemed pretty wound up even first up...Makybe has more improvement...I'm jumping on if i get the right odds.

I needed a nudge, and you blokes have given it. I will jump on the diva. By th way maverick, What do you consider the right odds on makybe?

Hi TS i hope to get better than the 2.50 i can get now...if the public support the King i'm hoping the price will get better but i dont have hopes...i don't see it going down (unless it rains) so i'm willing to wait..

Yeh spot on Mav that was my assesment, that Elvis was tuned to peak first up, and he probably doesn't have much improvement left in him, whereas Makybe will have derived great benefit from her 2 runs and be close to her prime for this. The extra distance, Niagara Falls ensuring a solid clip, and back to Makybe's fav track will turn the result around IMHO.

Niagara won't necessarily ensure a quick pace.

Don't assume Elvstroem won't handle Flemington as well as he does Caulfield, he does and he will. Elvstroem is a star. No question.

That being said, Makybe is a star too. If the race were 2400+ she'd be true odds about 1.80. Unfortunately, it ain't, and at 2000m I reckon this is going to be very close, possibly a dead heat.

In fact, ************ it, I'm tipping a dead heat!!!

(I really just wish Grand Armee were in it to lead them, so that Elvis had to run him down, and Makybe run them all down)