Classy 3YO Handicappers
 

Rule 1: Operate on handicap races for 3YOs only.
Rule 2: Work down the racecard from the top. The selection is the first horse you come to which was placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last start.
Rule 3: In the event of there being no qualifier by the time you are halfway down the card, there is no bet for the race.

5/8/2006

Rosehill race 2: Jerrylee LOST
race 4: Slow Walrz LOST

Caulfield race 2: Catechuchu 3RD $1.60
race 3: Rustia LOST

Doomben race 2: My Centurion WON $5.00/$1.70

Cheltenham race 5: Vicello WON $8.60/$2.70

12/8/2006

Randwick race 5: Heat of the Fire LOST

Flemington race 1: Al Anoods 2ND $1.40
race 3: Wordsmith 3RD: $4.90

Eagle Farm race 3: Covet Gold 3RD $1.50

Morphettville race 3: Urbane Boy LOST

19/8/2006

Rosehill race 7: Mentality WON $4.30/$2.00

Doomben race 3: Blue Fox LOST

Morphettville race 1: Our Currency WON $6.30/$1.60

26/8/2006

Doomben race 5: Trivo 3RD $1.60

Morphettville race 2: Vicello LOST
race 8: Made of Diamonds WON $3.80/$1.80

Quote:

Originally Posted by Glenno Rule 1: Operate on handicap races for 3YOs only. Rule 2: Work down the racecard from the top. The selection is the first horse you come to which was placed 1st, 2nd or 3rd last start. Rule 3: In the event of there being no qualifier by the time you are halfway down the card, there is no bet for the race.

The website http://www.cdsystems.uk.com/ comments: "Three-year-olds at the top of the handicap are improving horses (as opposed to older topweights who may be declining, but are still at the top based on what they did a long time ago). The effect of weight is grossly overstated in most cases, so the official handicapper has saved us a lot of form study by telling us the best horses. We then just need to look for confirmation of current form."

Hi Glenno!
I hope I am not telling you something new here, but you need no system or insight, when you see a disproportional place/win odds like the above.

Anyone who had not noticed this before, (and I hope all serious punters have) should go and play bingo instead! they'd have a better chance of making a profit there.

Good luck!

I want to clarify something in the results I gave.

The results I gave were using SuperTAB returns.

In case I give two dividends if the horse wins the race, the left figure represents the win return and the right figure represents the place return.

The results I gave were for Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane and Adelaide meetings for Saturdays throughout August 2006. This resulted in 17 selections for five winners for a total win return of $28.00, for a profit of $11.00 (64.71%). There were a total of ten placings (including wins) for a total place return of $20.70, for a profit of $3.70 (21.76%).

2/9/2006

CHELTENHAM
Race 1: Ela Ye Mou 2ND $1.50
Race 2: Our Currency 3RD $1.50

DOOMBEN
Race 4: Stolit LOST

9/9/2006

KENSINGTON
Race 5: Cheeky Choice WON $2.90/$1.70
Race 9: Sermon 3RD $1.40

CHELTENHAM
Race 3: Regal Chivas LOST

16/9/2006

MOONEE VALLEY
Race 1: Escadaire WON $8.90/$3.10
Race 2: Muzdahar 2ND $1.80

ROSEHILL
Race 3: Coco Roca 3RD $1.50

MORPHETTVILLE
Race 2: Eyelashes LOST
Race 4: Exalted Thomas LOST

DOOMBEN
Race 4: Tender Truce LOST

23/9/2006

CAULFIELD
Race 1: Saratime LOST

MORPHETTVILLE
Race 1: Changing Eyes LOST

EAGLE FARM
Race 1: Athena Mana Mou 3RD $1.80

29/9/2006

MOONEE VALLEY
Race 2: McFly 3RD $2.60
Race 8: Young Love LOST

30/9/2006

RANDWICK
Race 3: Absolutelyfabulous WON $2.60/$1.40
Race 4: Teranaba LOST

VICTORIA PARK
Race 1: Umatrue WON $2.70/$1.80
Race 7: Intercode LOST

DOOMBEN
Race 6: Nellie Got There 2ND $4.50

UPD****ED RESULTS

Selections: 40

Wins: 9 (22.50%)

Win return: $45.10

Win profit: $5.10 (12.75%)

Placings (including wins): 22 (55.00%)

Place return: $45.30

Place profit: $5.30 (13.25%)