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-   -   Jeremiad (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=8316)

Chuck 28th March 2005 03:17 PM

Jeremiad
 
I don't know why people keep underrating this horse! After winning 9 days ago, its turned up again racing basically the same field over the same distance - but still not favourite!. How Havana Wind could be rated a $2.90 chance is beyond me. Jeremiad won and payed $6.20 & $2.50 - I WON $$

xptdriver 28th March 2005 04:36 PM

Gday Chuck,

If you got that price on the tote ($6.20), that is about what it should have paid according to my ratings ($6.30)... good onya for backing a nice winner (as did I). As for Havana Wind, I had it priced at closer to even money than what was bet on the NSW TAB... When you have a horse trained by Waterhouse and ridden by Beadman you have to factor that in when trying to assess what the market will be.. I think there was also a small advantage in weight to Havana Wind from last time they met.. I think it deserved the tag of favourite but as you know not all favs win.. interesting to note that the horse with the **11 formline was again overbet at 5.90 IMHO opinion $8.50 was closer to the mark..


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