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-   -   Don Scotts pricing method (http://forums.ozmium.com.au/showthread.php?t=8989)

DR RON 30th April 2005 02:37 PM

Don Scotts pricing method
 
Does anyone have the pricing table that Don Scott used for his ratings?

Sportz, I know you produced a similar table, I think it was the first one you posted that had A horse 0.5 kgs behind as getting 85 points, however I am sure that Dons table had that horse at a value of 0.9 or 90 points so I would like to use that one if anyone would mind posting it. If it cant be posted for copyright reasons then could they please send it to me at sonnyboy64 at optusnet dot com dot au

Thanks

Researcher 30th April 2005 05:47 PM

This is not Scott's win betting table but his table for trifecta betting.
Expected Margin between top rated and other rated horse Decimal Odds
(kgs)
0.0 1.00
0.5 .850
1.0 .723
1.5 .614
2.0 .522
2.5 .444
3.0 .377
3.5 .321
4.0 .272
4.5 .232
5.0 .197
5.5 .167
6.0 .142
6.5 .121
7.0 .103
7.5 .087
8.0 .074
8.5 .063
9.0 .054
This gives longer priced horses a higher percentage chance.

DR RON 30th April 2005 07:36 PM

Thanks Researcher, I might have to adjust it a bit to make it a bit tighter at the top, as I win bet only.

Floydyboy 30th April 2005 07:55 PM

I have a copy of 'winning "his original book if youd like to send me an email to vonnika2001@yahoo.com and tell me where you would like me to send it to......your quite welcome to it for nix and Ill pay the postage I havent used it for years and years

DR RON 1st May 2005 11:32 AM

Email sent thanks Floydyboy

KennyVictor 1st May 2005 01:44 PM

Quote:
Originally Posted by Floydyboy
your quite welcome to it for nix and Ill pay the postage


You're a generous man indeed Floydyboy, they're as rare as hens teeth mate and collectors will pay hundreds for them. I keep mine in the safe.:-)
What else you got that you don't need?

KV

Floydyboy 1st May 2005 02:08 PM

Thats OK Id rather see it put to use than gathering dust ...Its not in mint condition but it still works ...and yes I am a good bloke contrary to popular belief hahaha
Ive just dug out the book doc (its 26 years old ...fark how time gets away) the table in the pricing chapter is actually "weight advantage.......odds"

eg
Advan.....Odds

.5kg.......10/9 on
1kg.........5/4on
1.5kg.......6/4on
etc etc

Of course the Kg advantage can be converted into lengths and fractions of lengths ...but Im not sure if thats what you want ...let me know and well see how we go ...I really dont mind posting stuff from the book Its no trouble I spend 75% of my life in front of the computer ... be happy to help

DR RON 1st May 2005 02:44 PM

The copy I had was called winning more, I think it was the second in the series and had the following

marg points

0 1
0.5 .9
1 .8

or something along those lines, but if you could post the rest of those you have down to 9.5 kg margin I be very grateful.

DR RON 1st May 2005 02:48 PM

the figures on the right should be over a bit further but I can never seem to work out how to do it.

Floydyboy 1st May 2005 02:51 PM

OK reading the top of the thread again it looks like what you want but youll have to do your own conversion on the ODDS/DECIMALS

KGS.....ODDS(ON)
0.5----10/9ON
1.0----5/4ON
1.5----6/4ON
2.0----7/4etc
2.5----2/1
3.0----5/2
3.5----3/1
4.0----4/1
4.5----5/1
5.0----7/1
5.5----9/1
6.0---12/1
6.5---15/1
7.0---20/1
7.5---25/1
8.0---30/1
8.5---40/1
9.0---60/1
9.5--100/1
There ya go Doc hope thats what ya wanted ....but as I said feel free to ask if ya need something else from the book Its the only racing book I have though


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