Wednesday June 8
 

Gday All

attached are my ratings for today's racing... Belmont's are done without scratchings because I am off to work... good luck if you have a bet..

Moonee Valley

Race 1.Open Race
No.3 Cos Snip $3.40 needs $5.10 for $30

Race 2.If the 1st starters were any good,they'ld be in a higher class race.Toppy,being a leader,is a special.
No.1 Danerich $2.60 need $3.60,(no chance of that) for $40

Race 3.Fit horses stand out again
No.2 Noise Barrage $2.75 need $3.90 for $40

Race 5.Concern that the toppy appears to need a break
No.1 Glasnost $3 need $4.35 for $30
No.2 Fly Me Home $3.60 need $5.50 for $30

Race 6.First up over 1600?.I don't think so.2nd up?.YES!
No.1 My Fraarlein $2.60 need $3.60 for $40 (E/W all day)

Race 7.Hard race,but should find some overs.
No.6 Special Number $3.60 need $5.50 for $30 (E/W)
No.3 Super Groove $4 need $6.50 for $25 (E/W)

Now I'm off to suss out Canterbury and Doomben.

DOOM R3
7 OUTSIDE THE FLAGS
1 Lion Kingdom
5 Eminence Grand
(7,1,5,4,6,10)

DOOM R5
13 RIOTOUS
8 Roman Squire
2 Sequal Joy
(13,8,2,1,9,12)

DOOM R7
3 IMPERIALISM
6 Mighty Icon
1 Gullcatcher
(3,6,1,2,7,11)

DOOM R8
1 TESTIFY
6 Lutyens
2 Arrowsweep
(1,6,2,15,16,19)

CANT R1
2 SWEET LEILANI
4 Dearness
5 Gentille
(2,4,5,1,3,9)

CANT R5
7 BLISS MISS
1 Snatch It
4 Lady Frisco
(7,1,4,2,8,9)

CANT R6
3 HIGH HEEL SHOOTER
7 Snippets Dream
4 Rosa Brava
(3,7,4,2,6,11)

CANT R7
7 RADIO SONG
2 Octama
4 Cajun Steel
(7,2,4,3,8,5)

M.VAL R5
5 HOUSE MOUSE*
1 Glasnost
(5,1,4,2,6)

M.VAL R8
2 DRAWBRIDGE OPEN
3 Little Miss Ruby
6 Sweet And Tidy
(2,3,6,4,7,10)

BELMONT R4
5 JUNORO
9 It's A Legend
2 Ezinikoff
(5,9,2,11,8,7)

BELMONT R5
3 OUR GREY HALO
12 Try A Tune
4 Kero Scene
(3,12,4,1,6,5)

DOOMBEN
RACE 6 #1 SUNLADY #1.2.6
RACE 7 #6 MIGHTY ICON #6.3.7
RACE 8 #1 TESTIFY #1.10.11

BELMONT
RACE 1 #7 TRUBISCAY #7.2.6

BELMONT
RACE 3 #3 EBONY STORM #3.2.5
RACE 4 #7 CASUAL WOLF #7.5.6
RACE 5 #3 OUR GREY HALO #3.5.4
RACE 6 #12 PRECISELY #12.9.7
RACE 7 #8 FRENCH SCENE #8.1.5
RACE 8 #6 AUNT LYDIA #6.9.4

Post Mortem
 

I learnt this.
Recent form is the best form.
I've been going on best track and best distance,but what happened 12 months ago is only that!
Plus I learnt this.
It takes a lot of time to do the form and if you ain't got the time,or the interest,don't bother.
I will now limit myself to about 2 hours of form study.If that means only 4 races analyzed,so be it.

Valley selections for races 1,2 and 3 were too short.
Went $15 E/way on Fly by Me for a collect of $31.50
Done $40 on My Fraulein.Never likely.Sorry about that!
Went $10 E/way on Super Groove.

Earlier I bet at Canterbury.
Race 3 No.1 $20 E/w and No.3 $15 E/W.$70 returned $38.
Race 4 No.2 Gold Ransom $30 E/w.The $60 returned $90.

Time will tell if I spent too much effort on Moonee Valley.
Just minutes before the 7th at Doomben I found No.2 Animate at $2 needing $2.60 for $50.I'm home now so I'll let this one go without me.
Won't back it but will have it at $25 E/way in my rundown.

Obviously didn't spend enough time on the race.Horse ran last.
And Super Groove ran last as well.Thank you very much punting gods!

Next is the 7th at Canterbury.Couldn't be bothered going back to the tote for this one either.Especially after Animates' top effort.

Regardless,they are included as my tips.
Canterbury Race 7.
No.4 Cajun Steel
No.5 Shysu
Both for $15 E/Way.

So now my profit report looks more familiar,and something like I'm used to.

Invested $410
Returned $311
Loss $99
POT = minus 24.1%

Don't you just hate it when your loss is more than the Tab takeout!
Back to the drawing board!
Dunno if I'll be back.

Nice tipping Sportz. Are you still using your modified TasTab/QTab ratings that I saw in an earlier post?

Unlike xpt who does ratings on all races, I only do ratings on what I consider the most suitable betting races each day. On Wednesdays, that usually means about 6 races. However, I couldn't find a suitable race at Moonee Valley today, so I only had 4 rated races: DOOM R7, DOOM R8, CANT R7, BELM R5. I had the winner rated clearly on top in all 4 of those races, so that was good.

As for the other tips, some of them are from systems of mine and some are just my own basic assessments from looking at the form. By the way, I actually left a couple of Perth races off my post by mistake. I had the last 2 winners there as well, so I had a good day thanks largely to that man Paul Harvey. You just can't go far wrong backing him in Perth.

Looks like a few of us had a good day :).

My results for top rated were.
Sels 10
Wins 4
Wret 21.3

I also had 8 from 10 winners from top 3 rated :).