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Search: Posts Made By: goty0405
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th April 2010, 07:43 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 3,595
Posted By goty0405
Short answer - Yes Long answer - it depends on...

Short answer - Yes

Long answer - it depends on the accuracy of your elimination method. If you could eliminate a short(ish) priced horse every race 100% of them time then you would of course...
Forum: General Topics 6th January 2010, 09:53 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 8,109
Posted By goty0405
I have heaps of different spreadsheets for my...

I have heaps of different spreadsheets for my gambling records but none that match exactly what you want. I think you will be better off doing your own spreadsheets for several reasons:

1) You get...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 30th December 2009, 08:13 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 5,712
Posted By goty0405
I think the rachet staking plan is quite good. I...

I think the rachet staking plan is quite good. I generally use a percentage staking plan and adding a raceht to it can improve returns, especially as the system goes along.

Without know more indepth...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th December 2009, 08:41 AM
Replies: 6
Views: 3,794
Posted By goty0405
I had same thought but saw that at last minute

I had same thought but saw that at last minute
Forum: Horse Racing 3rd November 2009, 04:22 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 2,021
Posted By goty0405
When viewing a betfair market, towards the top...

When viewing a betfair market, towards the top left corner of the market, underneath the things like title of race, in-play indicator etc...there are 2 checkboxes

1) "Back & Lay" is the checkbox...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 19th October 2009, 07:47 AM
Replies: 12
Views: 5,122
Posted By goty0405
I've looked into something similar for the last 3...

I've looked into something similar for the last 3 months so I can tell you that horses 1.90 and under is currently winning 60%
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 9th October 2009, 08:12 AM
Replies: 2
Views: 2,829
Posted By goty0405
data dot betfair dot com There you can download...

data dot betfair dot com

There you can download spreadsheets with EVERY single betfair market. For each market they have each runner listed and for each runner they have every price they got matched...
Forum: General Topics 8th October 2009, 08:15 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 5,355
Posted By goty0405
I've done some research on this topci and my...

I've done some research on this topci and my understanding was...

1) Australian based/licensed companies cannot offer online gambling products to non-Australians; and

2) Companies without...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 24th September 2009, 09:43 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 4,286
Posted By goty0405
I read something a while back about building lay...

I read something a while back about building lay systems like this and it recommended trying to find something that had a negative ROI (or LOT if you want to call it that) of around -30%. Its doable...
Forum: Horse Racing 11th September 2009, 06:13 AM
Replies: 23
Views: 6,207
Posted By goty0405
Hahaha thanks. That gave me a good laugh so early...

Hahaha thanks. That gave me a good laugh so early in the morning :)
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th September 2009, 07:33 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 6,620
Posted By goty0405
Recovering staking is quite risky, espeically for...

Recovering staking is quite risky, espeically for lay betting.

In the bets listed from yesterday there were 2 consecutive losing bets but it meant the stake had grown from 0.25 to 8.70...matched at...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 5th September 2009, 09:25 AM
Replies: 13
Views: 6,620
Posted By goty0405
I am a little unsure of what you meant in...

I am a little unsure of what you meant in original post but pretty much anything you want can be done by a bot.

There are plentyof existing products (some for money, some free) and a couple of these...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 3rd September 2009, 06:07 AM
Replies: 14
Views: 8,045
Posted By goty0405
It'sa good question. Without knowing all the...

It'sa good question. Without knowing all the information and doing lots of analysis here are some things I would consider:

1) Lock away most of the original profit and keep the system going on small...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 18th June 2009, 09:53 PM
Replies: 16
Views: 6,315
Posted By goty0405
And the beauty of maths is that you can make...

And the beauty of maths is that you can make numbers say almost anything. I think you're on the right track but I'd like to point out something - by eliminating selections based on a price after...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 17th June 2009, 09:22 PM
Replies: 19
Views: 7,248
Posted By goty0405
Yeah a while back I tested some different...

Yeah a while back I tested some different theories and found that a FAST track was actually the "worst" performer and the wet tracks weren't as bad as people seemed to think.
Forum: General Topics 31st May 2009, 04:07 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 5,151
Posted By goty0405
Aaaah ok you want to dutch your top 3 to make $50...

Aaaah ok you want to dutch your top 3 to make $50 profit if any of them win. Right well thats a little more complex and requires several forumals...

It's a multi-step process.

1) Find the...
Forum: General Topics 30th May 2009, 07:12 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 5,151
Posted By goty0405
What is that formula doing?! Why do you do 0 +...

What is that formula doing?! Why do you do 0 + 60? Why not just start with 60?

Anyway what you want to do is this...

50/(odds-1)

Where you want to make $50 profit (i.e not including your stake)....
Forum: Sports and Gambling 18th May 2009, 07:56 PM
Replies: 8
Arb
Views: 3,304
Posted By goty0405
Back price ALWAYS must be higher than lay price....

Back price ALWAYS must be higher than lay price. The bigger the difference the bigger the profit. Follow the example...

Step 1: Back $100 @ 3.0
If it wins = +200
If it loses = -100

Step 2:...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 16th May 2009, 08:03 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 3,207
Posted By goty0405
Agreed. I tried X3, X2, X1 and all had the same...

Agreed.

I tried X3, X2, X1 and all had the same result...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 16th May 2009, 07:46 PM
Replies: 2
Views: 3,581
Posted By goty0405
This is an interest of mine also but moreso from...

This is an interest of mine also but moreso from a trading aspect. The things I've discovered so far is that just using the weight or money, or prices matched on a horse, is not the best. The reason...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 15th May 2009, 11:11 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 3,416
Posted By goty0405
I haven't had time to look at your spreadsheet...

I haven't had time to look at your spreadsheet but a pretty simple way would be to do something like this:

Add a column called "Favourite"
Write a formula in tat column that gets the Minimum price...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 13th May 2009, 11:05 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 2,852
Posted By goty0405
Like anything you shouldn't just be making...

Like anything you shouldn't just be making selections based on price. If you said "I'm going back all horses priced @ $3-5" you'd make a loss too.

You need to figure out a method/system NOT based on...
Forum: Sports and Gambling 12th May 2009, 05:35 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 2,852
Posted By goty0405
Yep it is correct. You've got to think of laying...

Yep it is correct.

You've got to think of laying like backing VERY short priced horses to win. In this case you were risking $20 to make $5. That's the same as backing a horse @ 1.25!

Or perhaps...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 8th May 2009, 04:41 PM
Replies: 33
Views: 10,250
Posted By goty0405
Where do you find these? I'm a bit of an AI nerd...

Where do you find these? I'm a bit of an AI nerd (I've done some neural network programming before) but I haven't seen a good usage yet in the horse racing frame. So im curious to have a look at this.
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 6th May 2009, 07:57 PM
Replies: 4
Views: 3,308
Posted By goty0405
I think it really depends on the ratings and how...

I think it really depends on the ratings and how they are defined. In your example you're talking about a 2 horse race. If you think about any sporting match, when 2 teams playing are closely matched...
Showing results 1 to 25 of 47

 
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