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Search: Posts Made By: Tipsy
Forum: RaceCensus 8th July 2016, 02:17 PM
Replies: 85
Views: 49,394
Posted By Tipsy
I don't know how any punter can get anywhere...

I don't know how any punter can get anywhere without a database. Even those who pooh pooh databases regularly quote statistics, and they don't see the irony in this! lol

Very well done Chrome...
Forum: Ratings2Win 7th July 2016, 03:05 PM
Replies: 7
Views: 11,045
Posted By Tipsy
I'm one of these people and I'm not sure how you...

I'm one of these people and I'm not sure how you can assume that a system with a small amount of selections MUST be backfitted. Nearly half of my filters are exactly the same in most of my systems,...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 6th July 2016, 11:20 AM
Replies: 138
Views: 313,873
Posted By Tipsy
Those stats quoted are nonsense. You need look no...

Those stats quoted are nonsense. You need look no further than a form guide.
Forum: General Topics 29th March 2016, 11:17 PM
Replies: 3
Views: 5,263
Posted By Tipsy
Post moderated. Criticising / questioning...

Post moderated. Criticising / questioning moderation is not acceptable. A number of suspensions already for same. Account now suspended for 3 months. Moderator.
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 28th March 2016, 08:10 PM
Replies: 13
Views: 23,045
Posted By Tipsy
Stats can identify trends .....

Stats can identify trends .....
Forum: General Topics 6th January 2016, 07:51 PM
Replies: 1
Views: 4,228
Posted By Tipsy
Psychology of Gambling on Horse Racing

Post moderated. Criticising / questioning moderation is not acceptable. A number of suspensions already for same. Account now suspended for 2 months. Moderator.
Forum: RaceCensus 5th January 2016, 10:35 PM
Replies: 85
Views: 49,394
Posted By Tipsy
Got my update thanks Chrome Prince. What your...

Got my update thanks Chrome Prince.

What your database has done for me more than anything else is:

* Provided me with an understanding that a run of outs is inevitable and manageable,...
Forum: General Topics 28th November 2015, 11:42 PM
Replies: 0
Views: 3,972
Posted By Tipsy
Terms of Use

Post moderated. Criticising / questioning moderation is not acceptable. First post back following 2 weeks suspension. Account now suspended 4 weeks.

Also note, Management reserves the right to...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 1st November 2015, 11:56 AM
Replies: 5
Views: 9,871
Posted By Tipsy
Is weight a real factor?

3kg of weight on a 600kg beast is the equivalent of Usain Bolt carrying 400grams extra (assuming he's about 80kg, I haven't googled it!! lol).

Surely there are a dozen other factors that would have...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 22nd October 2015, 07:00 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 18,838
Posted By Tipsy
Hi UselessBettor Sent this "Tipsy (Rob)...

Hi UselessBettor

Sent this "Tipsy (Rob) from Propun" 9.23pm yesterday.

cheers
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 21st October 2015, 09:03 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 18,838
Posted By Tipsy
UselessBettor, my post isn't particularly well...

UselessBettor, my post isn't particularly well explained.

I'm looking for what turns punters off .....
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 19th October 2015, 09:35 PM
Replies: 11
Views: 18,838
Posted By Tipsy
I'm not quite sure where you're coming from UB,...

I'm not quite sure where you're coming from UB, but I think we have a different interpretation of "safe". I haven't been able to find any success with horses priced 50/1 and over, it seems that these...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 14th October 2015, 04:55 PM
Replies: 17
Views: 17,752
Posted By Tipsy
Post moderated. Off topic. Moderator.

Post moderated. Off topic. Moderator.
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 19th September 2015, 11:58 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 18,838
Posted By Tipsy
Gamblers on horses for mine seem to try and...

Gamblers on horses for mine seem to try and include as many safety factors as possible, won at track, senior jockey, trial form, good barrier, one of the favs with the bookies, and so on. The more of...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 18th September 2015, 03:21 PM
Replies: 8
Views: 12,859
Posted By Tipsy
I didn't explain my self too well, all I was...

I didn't explain my self too well, all I was looking at was all up three bets in a row on a favoured horse ...... I arrived at the juicy odds of 63/1 for three 3/1 chances winning in succession.

I...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 18th September 2015, 11:18 AM
Replies: 8
Views: 12,859
Posted By Tipsy
If you throw 10 heads in a row the chance of the...

If you throw 10 heads in a row the chance of the 11th throw being a head is even money. Those punting up on the tails knowing that the odds will revert to 50/50 will have lost a fortune.

Instead of...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 18th September 2015, 08:47 AM
Replies: 11
Views: 18,838
Posted By Tipsy
Some Gems on Here

Why is it that most punters try to be safe when they're gambling?

I do believe longshots win when it's their turn, the problem is that most cannot stand the run of outs, it's different to looking at...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 31st August 2015, 04:41 PM
Replies: 5
Views: 9,045
Posted By Tipsy
Is it S/R or Divvy that stops the gravy train?

1) I say it's the divvy. The S/R for favourites hasn't changed since Adam was a lad, so one could assume the S/R for most of the popular methods of selecting potential winners hasn't changed...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th August 2015, 03:20 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
BTW darkydog, your (fantasy) bet shows a return...

BTW darkydog, your (fantasy) bet shows a return of 50% not 33% as you calculated.

You hijacked this thread and refused to answer my question about ratings.

Funny on this very same thread you...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th August 2015, 02:58 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
darkydog, you've sort of ************ed up the...

darkydog, you've sort of ************ed up the potential of this thread .....
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th August 2015, 02:22 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
I wouldn't mind an answer to my premise that...

I wouldn't mind an answer to my premise that newspaper ratings, the top rated horse, have an abysmal record. And I believe that the
Herald Sun uses one of the better ratings services, the name which...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th August 2015, 02:05 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
Why is it that computer ratings in the newspapers...

Why is it that computer ratings in the newspapers have such an abysmal record? There are many days where there's not one winner. How do journo's overcome this hurdle when it's their own newspapers...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 7th August 2015, 10:27 AM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
One small difference between the system you've...

One small difference between the system you've just posted and my system is that mine shows a profit over the past 25+ years. The system you just put up would lose. No offence meant, but those types...
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 6th August 2015, 02:06 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
Hi PaulD01 ..... "I'm not a systems punter...

Hi PaulD01 ..... "I'm not a systems punter but an ardent form analyst"

I can see with that statement why you're sceptical, and fair enough too. :)

Thanks for your responses, good info!!
Forum: Horse Race Betting Systems 6th August 2015, 01:01 PM
Replies: 32
Views: 25,692
Posted By Tipsy
PaulD01 ..... "The bottom line is that such...

PaulD01 ..... "The bottom line is that such a method is not feasible as its simply does not provide enough action."

That's your opinion but you appear to have stated it as factual ..... :)

If I've...
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