mr jfc
please do not misrepresent my position. you berate others for doing this and now you do it youself. i have never said that impact values are not flawed. in fact on one occasion i actually state that i believe they are flawed and on another occasion i say that they are not as good as Nicks calculations. i think everyone here who read my statements will know this to be true.
you are trying to argue that your calculation are better than impact values. your calculation is probably better and for the sake of this argument i shall concede this point. it is after all irrelevant.
all you have done so far is throw up smokescreen to hide the fact that three times now you have ignored my assertion that your figures are flawed. they are fatally flawed. you argue all other points other than this becos you know that you cannot argue this point. to suggest every horse has 1/N chance of winning and 3/N chance of placing is just plain silly. your calculation are based on this premise and it is here that your calculation are flawed. ignore fact that impact value are flawed. ignore question of whether your calculation better than impact value. your calculation still based on flawed logic therefore calculation are flawed. even mr chrome prince agree with this.
now let us go back to original question i ask. you did not say "more significant" you said and i quote
"Horses who run 3rd <=0.5L are significantly better than 2nds > 3L."
you said "significantly better". i ask you to justify this and you post flawed figures. when i challenge you on your flawed figures you branch off into "insignificant matter" try to prove your figures better than impact values when the real issue is your figures are flawed.
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Originally Posted by jfc
Exactly what is the point of your sudden uninvited arrival here
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i think this forum is open forum for all to discuss. i think discussion is good to try to understand nature of things.
why you not want me here mr jfc?
is it becos i do not blindly accept what you say as gospel truth and that i seek to find evidence of such truths?
i think anyone who blindly accept anything that is said on forum such as this is fool.
Thank you. Winston.