Race 1. The Meadows.Assessed and needed prices.

1. - $18.3 ($68)
2. - $7.9 ($17)
3. - $21.5 ($90)
4. - $29.6 ($160)
5. - $8.9 ($20)
6. - $17.6 ($64)
7. - $6.7 ($13)
8. - $2.4 ($3.35)

Seems a lot of good,hard work has gone out the window studying this race as no value found.
Perhaps the PINK may come up at suitable odds!


There is a staying race at the Meadows tonight so I thought I would have a go at rating it.
My calculated prices have come up with obvious and glaring errors.

I've been going by a universal criteria of the dog's rating is calculated by subtracting its time from the track record time.
This seems to work reasonably well when comparing races at the same track.
But it seems it is much easier for a dog to run closer to the record at the minor tracks.
This appears to be that the track record at the minor tracks would have been lower had the distance been attempted by the dogs that ran the records at the city tracks.
A lower class of dog usually runs at the country tracks.
As the dog shows outstanding ability,it continues its career in the city and the country tracks don't get a chance to have their records lowered.

The good thing about RATINGS is you should be able to compare performances from different tracks over different distances and even from different eras.
There quite possibly is a formula more accurate than subtracting from the race record time.Perhaps subtracting from the overall average race time,but I think the results would be the same.

I have now decided that the benchmark time to be used is found by subtracting 1/100ths of seconds from the track records until the Ratings look about right.
So if,for example,smart dogs win at Sandown at 0.6 seconds outside the track record and run 0.3 seconds outside the record at Geelong,then instead of using the track record at Geelong as a base I will use that time minus 0.3 seconds.

BRILLIANT!
SEE YOU AT THE FRONT OF THE COLLECT WINDOW QUEUE!