Angel,

Firstly, if Northerly wasn't fit don't you think the stewards are culpable for letting the trainer present a horse for racing when he is not at his best?
Secondly, some punters steer away from odds-on betting and this is good for me as on some occasions I may have assessed a runner as a 1/10 prospect and have been able to secure 4/5 or evens thereby achieving a favourable percentage advantage(arbitrage transaction). More precisely, if I can get a significant percentage overlay regularly then this increases the prospects of maintaining a long-term winning strategy. I stress here that I certainly do not bet exclusively on short-priced runners as I usually seek out any value on offer. However, when the opportunity presents itself I will invest heavily on the short priced runner offering a significant percentage overlay.

See ya buddy.