
30th December 2005, 10:58 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 402
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Compare your sheet with this using (say) 60/300
http://members.aol.com/johnp71/confint.html
It says your observed strike rate of 20% could be "really as bad" as 15.62%.
Therefore you'd want a ROT of 20/15.62 = 28% POT to compensate.
28% is far bigger than your reduction of 10%.
Also just bet A+B+C+D+E with your disposable income on AusTote with its introductory 2% rake.
The worst thing that can happen is you going crazy after some beginner's luck.
It is more character-building if you lose a bit as that should force you to research harder to lift your game.
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