
13th January 2006, 10:51 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 2,791
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Hi, Pugnosis. Yes, you're right, it should not have been a selection. I've got to be more careful. I hope you're winning with your laying system.
My very limited records of the system indicates there could be a bias with No.1 when fave. It seems to be overbet which means the other runners could represent value. I am only basing this on betting around No.1. Since last Sat by dutch-betting every other horse using the pre-post prices in the Telegraph has produced a 26% POT with the NSW TAB. But this is from only 12 races. Yet compered with Non-Topweight System, the POT after 17 races is only 10%. However, it is much too early to draw conclusions about any bias. Pugnosis, maybe you might have noticed something similar, or maybe my observation is just a temporary aberration?
Two selections today:
Canberra R2 no.1 - My Honour ($2.50)
Port Mac R2 no.1 - Gallery Hawk ($2.70)
Two selections for the Non-Topweight System:
Moonee Valley R5 no.6 - Road To Athens ($3.50)
Warrnambool R1 no.5 - Super Gino ($3.00)
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