13th January 2006, 01:32 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 578
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by crash
... the 'quality' of Sat. Metro racing this time of year we have to contend with. This Sydney meeting tomorrow is indicative of what is on offer at other meeting tomorrow as well. ...
For serious Handicapping purposes there is not one race above I would feel confident to handicap. Just too many unknowns. 3yr. olds are basically still 2yr. olds with few runs under their belt. Race 5 and 6, how many have ever been the distance? Race 2 and 7 ? Ditto....
My proposal is that at certain times of the year, there is a good argument to put faith in systems, not handicapping. The few I use seem to do well at these times, yet fall to 'unsatisfactory' levels during the better handicapping times of the year, when known form is a useful guideline. Which is not now.
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Sandown with just over 50 runners for the whole eight races is no better either Crash.
I agree with you about systems, there is nothing wrong with them, even if they are only used a pointer to reduce the amount of form work required. I've been having a bit of good fortune over the last little while with one being used for place betting with 8 from the last 9 saluting.
Far better than attempting to work out the form lines of horses that are coming from far and wide in many of the restricted races of late.
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