22nd January 2006, 09:56 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 696
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by moeee
Only just found your post Woofer.
Thank you for doing it.
I am just going through it but aren't understanding why you have 2 dividends beside each dog.
Could you explain please?
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Hi Moe,
The first estimated payoff is based on using each dogs Life To Date raw time data, without any adjustments.
The second estimated payoff is based on using Lenghts beaten In Todays Grade LTD without any adjustments.
The third figure is using Lenghts beaten IN Todays Grade LTD.
The 3rd figure is compiled without using any Class/Grade adjustments from track to track, plus it is Life to date.
The purpose was to show Lenghts beaten In Grade is a very good indicator of Class, with some slight adjustments such as knowing the Class difference from track to track, deducting win margin from Lenghts beaten total, box position adjustments and using only say the last 6 starts (providing there is no breaks of more then 21 an over days between starts)its quite easy to handicap a race with only a formguide and pencil.
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