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Old 22nd January 2006, 04:31 PM
moeee moeee is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Melbourne
Posts: 5,359
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I am the first to admit that my posted assessment of the market is the worst that I've ever seen posted.
It should be impossible to lose more than 17%,because that is the take out.
Yet I continue to perform at a ridiculous Loss on turnover.
And the reason this is happening is because the factors I am looking at,are not the reasons why dogs do or do not win.
They should be,but they are not.

And can I say Woofer,without trying to bag your ideas,because they also appear sound,you also are looking in the wrong place.
Although it may very well have been a bad night to release your theory or perhaps there is really a phantom curse about.

I do understand that your market did not allow for the box draw and a number of important factors.
And I did not in fact do the maths of actually working out your returns that would result in backing the overs at your posted prices.
It would be criminal of me to expect a profit on turnover,but I would expect your overlay prices to have returned better than a 17% loss.

And again,I didn't do the maths,but considering that not a single winner started at over your posted prices,I may be over hastily condemning your efforts.

Please appreciate that I do appreciate your effort and am not condemning you or your mode of assessment.
Could you please,if you did in fact have a bet or two on the meeting,notify if you actually had a winning or losing night.

Thanks Woofer.
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