Thread: Carlyon Stakes
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Old 25th January 2006, 05:18 AM
crash crash is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: gippsland lakes/vic
Posts: 5,104
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It looks like C/Dane has been rated by some here on future [possible] performance. Certainly not on past performance, considering the filed it is up against in this race. This is a GIANT leap in class for the Dane. Has been winning by up to 4 lengths, but against what??? Zilch.

Californian Dane just hasn't any Group or Stakes standing. Spark of Life owns the race on Group performance and earnings, average earnings, distance and speed at the weight and track. Boss on board will help too. For a 10yr. old, Bomber Bill ran a beauty first up, but it was below the proven top class he meets here [Casual Pass, Spark of Life, Validictum and Bomber Bill].

C/Dane on 'possible' performance [hype] improvement might win. I don't think 'might' is something that can be rated here. As far as time goes for 1200m., nothing special has been shown and as far as the horses raced against so far by C/Dane [nobodies in comparison to the competition faced today], there is nothing there to justify anything except odds of around 7/1. and up. Obviously an [eventual] class horse, but it's all in the past 'doing' and not in the future 'should or might do' that odds and ratings should be set I think.

I'll back C/Dane at good odds, not hype odds. $4 for Spark of Life would get my money, but for $8 or over I'd take a punt on the Dane as it 'might' win.
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