25th January 2006, 04:28 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,431
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by crash
Anyone lining up to take odds-on for the Dane in a first effort jumping several grades into a G2 will be very welcomed by any bookie and all other punters.
If a track record means immediate favoritism in a group 2, then where are all those other record holders who never made it beyond HCP level? Any quick check of track records will reveal heaps of them. I backed and tipped one last Sat. [in the tipping comp. in that 'other' forum], Landloper in a 45K race at Sandown who broke the 1600m record. Before that the horse had never won more than a 22k race and beat Kounthekash [a better horse] doing it. Are we going to see this 'speedy' 6yr. old in a group 2 anytime soon and winning? I don't think so.
The Dane's other times beside that one run at M/V are nothing more than very ordinary. Anyway, I love setting myself up to eat humble pie and I can look forward to either heaps of 'told you so' replies after the race or ...not a squeak from anyone :-)
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Hi crash,
No I won't be taking any worse than evens, but I think he'll win.
It is not the time alone that he ran, it is the way he ran, the ease and dominance in all his past races that he's won.
Sandown times are exceptionally quicker than normal because of the run down the hill.
Look at all the Sandown times over distances and compare them to almost all other metro tracks, they are faster by a fair way.
We all have opinions, that's what sets markets  |