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Old 27th January 2006, 09:53 PM
Svenvlad Svenvlad is offline
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Join Date: Dec 2004
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G'Day Mav,

Looks a good day tomorrow, with the highlight the fillies and mares race later in the day. The weather looks good, so we should be in for a good even track for the day.

Race 1 - I like the way In Your Honour hit the line last time behind Diamonds Am I. He seemed to get run off his legs, but when balanced up, he really finished off well. I'm thinking with the Eagle Farm straight and the extra 100m to run, he'll be well suited. Agree that Pirate Queen looks good, the run behind Reigart is a great pointer for this race. The time last run was pretty good too. Hethel is a full relation to Hard To Catch, and could run a race with the claim and the 1 alley.

Race 2 - Like Bold Reason here. Nothing at all has gone right in his last few runs. But tomorrow, with Cahill and the reasonable alley, i think he can go forward and control this race. I loved his win here back around carnival time. Emit Time will prefer this grade and distance and can bounce back. Good alley and the gun apprentice help no end. Vive Le Roi disappointed last time, but i'm willing to forgive one run. He is much better than that, and could trouble some of these on best form.

Race 3 - Who'd know. Pretty ordinary race really, but i don't mind the chances of Tackman. Has raced in much better company than this, and the 3 alley from the nightmare starting point is a plus. Classy Darcy ran them ragged at Ippy the other day, and if left alone in front might be able to repeat the dose. Image of Reality is the class in the race, and if she returns to anywhere near her best, she'll demolish them. She hasn't looked likely to return to form judging by the last 2 runs though.

Race 4 - Don't like the race. Absolom has been running Ok around the place and so has Instructed. They are both chances. Sir Sensible was a strong win at Ippy a couple of weeks back, and the 2nd horse has come out and won since, so i guess thats a good pointer. As you can see, i'm really confident about this one .

Race 5 - No speed here. Picablu will go forward, Daunting Lad might not be far off them, Devil has been known to go forward too. I've settled on Picablu. A mile is as far as he wants to go, but he has a good record at the distance, so i think he'll give a good sight. Devil, on figures, is my top pick but i just think the speed will play against him. Daunting Lad was a great win last time, and if Patillo holds him up for one last sprint, i think he can get the journey. The quick back-up is a concern though.

Race 6 - Hard To Catch looks a class above them to my eye. If Radecker can give him a nice run in transit, i think he'll be too strong. Step Right In finds it tough to win in town, but has undeniable ability and can figure strongly at the finish. A roughy with a chance is King's Valour. Second up record is good, and the run behind Murray Downs last prep was better than it looks on paper. Taylor knows how to get those longshots home too, he got another one on Thursday .

Race 7 - Like Shysu. One of the most genuine mares going around. We now know that not only can she get a strong 1200, but she can take a sit - which she may do here from the 1. Princess Margaret's record speaks for itself, she seems to just have that will to win, and it took one of the most unreliable horses in Australia to beat her (Amex ). She'll be there at the end, for sure. Excellent Ann has run some nice races in town before, and will be ready for this, i'm sure.

Race 8 - Not a great one to finish on, but i don't mind the chances of Ashbury. Has been around the mark lately, and more importantly, this is not strong. From the good alley and with the good Jockey, i think he'll be there at the end. Fred's Boys had a good first up win in NSW country and can transfer that form here easily with a good run. Mersey Best has a shocking alley but the form up north is great. Might run a big race at odds.

Good day in all, my best would be Bold Reason and Shysu with a nice rough chance to King's Valour.

Good luck everyone

Sven
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