28th January 2006, 08:44 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 4,437
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Iomaca,
True Silver Seam is clearly a danger and ran a faster sectional to win last start.
The queries with Silver seam as I see it are:
J Whiting is a far superior jockey.
Silver Seam is stepping up in grade and distance and has never even been placed in this grade, whereas Shake Your Bon Bon was only beaten 0.5L last time in this grade.
Silver Seam's last win was in a Class 6 and SYBB's win was in a RS3MW.
Silver Seam has not raced for 21 days as opposed to 7 days.
We know that SYBB is rock hard fit, and SS is fit, but we don't know how fit she is now. (What has happened between the last run and today).
SS will be fourth up from a spell, and I'd suggest that a 4 year old mare may have had enough, especially when asking for more from her.
Mind you there is a 1.5kg pull in the weights favouring SS.
SYBB has beaten much better quality opposition.
I've been wrong many times before, but the ledger has SYBB in front for mine.
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