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Originally Posted by KennyVictor
Hi Marcus,
I've been meaning to check this out using my selections since you wrote it (only taken just over a year to get round to it) and it's showing some promise. Are you still doing it? Is it working still? Are you watching a screen up to jump time or how do you decide which horse to bet on. Did you try any other similar things before you settled on this.
KV
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Hi KV!
Sure I do. Done it for years and it works fine.
Actually I concentrate mostly on the second and maybe on my third selection.
If none of the first three qualify,(ie.<$2.00), and the fourth is not too far down in my ratings, AND pays well, then I bet on that.
Of course the first selection has a better SR. just as it should, but I find the sec. returns more for a slightly lower SR.
I find the $2.00 or more return, very satisfying, it covers the next bet in full, if I want a next bet. Sometimes I get annoyed that I don't bet because it is below my odds, and it comes in paying $1.60, but I know from my analysis that I am far better off, leaving them alone.
Also the last few months I have followed Kenchar's hint, and watch the NZ races on Saturdays, looking for anomalies between the win and place prices.
The results are amazing, strange, that the same thing never happens in local races.
One thing though, I preselect horses to rate, that are not going to be popular picks, but have a solid chance of placing or winning.
Most days I just put in a small bet on the sec. selection because of work, but if I have a chance yes, I watch the odds couple min. before the jump, in the TAB, can't do it at home, get distracted and miss the race, and also I find that in the long run the prices you get on the different TABs even out, maybe with the bookies it would be different, but I'm doing OK so why increase the workload?
PS. Most important!!! I am not a gambler, I do it solely for the money and if I am up a certain amount, I want to win, I stop, also if I can see the day is not panning out right , I STOP! I am sure you know the feeling yourself, that some days are just losing days, so why persevere? There is always an other day tomorrow!
Good luck