Sorry to disappoint all you cockroaches,but this canetoad sincerely hopes that tabq never brings flexi-bet into this state!All it does(my opinion only)is totally stuff up any chance of getting any value out of a trifecta divvy!Every small punter can take many more combinations than was ever possible,thus eroding the divvies.I don't know anythingabout the technicalities of flexi-bet,can you take a percentage of a box trifecta?Even if you can,say you took an 8 horse box@10%=33.60,then if you got it,it would have to pay 336.00 just to get your mopney back!To me box trifectas are a waste of time and money.If you need to box 8 horses,then you are only guessing!Or playing numbers.If you can't narrow a field down to 2 or three main chances,then I would suggest you don't bet on that race,let alone take a trifecta!How many times could take an 8 horse box,even at 5%,at cost of $16.80. Say you get it.It pays $400.Your divvy @ 5%=$20
WOW...you have got a $400 trifecta,and won the princely sum of $3.20!!!A $5000+trifecta was quoted as an example,how many times do you se that?And how many times could you expect to strike one?I would like to suggest a more sensible approach.
Rule 1.
Only operate on quality races(i.e.the main races of the day,such as the daily double)
Rule 2.
Field size no more than 14
Rule 3.
Take the first three in the prepost market to win.
Rule 4.
Take the first five in the prepost market to come second.
Rule 5.
Take the field to come third.
That's it.
No form study.It is a proven statistical fact that the first 3 in the market win 70% of all races run.That fact has stood the test of time.So you have a 70% chance of snagging the winner.
With those three to win,and also to come second along the next two in the betting,and the field to come third,your trifecta looks something like this:
3x5x14=144
or@50c=72
heaps more value,heaps more money if you strike it!!!
Just my thoughts,cheers,.angel416
darkydog,yeah mate,it sure is a small world!
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