I do not think that Northerly can win.Every time he has to carry more than 58kgs he is found wanting.Weight will stop a train.Never bet odds on,never run up steps.Mr.Trickster likely to lead again,if not him,something else will set a fast tempo and make him carry his weight.Patrick Payne will have it in his head(if Mr.Trickster leads)that he has to be closer this time.That will bring him undone.Also Fred Kersley has already"given the hint"that he was forced to run him this week because he needs more experience at the Sydney way of racing before next weeks BMW,which is obviously is the main target for him.So the excuse was there for him last week,and it is already in place for him on Saturday,should he lose.
I am not saying that he can't win,I'm just saying that I don't think he will,so it opens up some value in the race.
I personally am going to dutch book these runners to beat him.

Stoway
Bedouin
Beau
Grand City
Laguna Lake
Majestically
Mr.Trickster

I don't normally dutch book that many horses,but with him stifling the market,it will be possible,and a good result is on the cards,providing one champion called doesn't spoil my party!!!