Jared Brennan,I LOVE YOU!
The Punting GODS smiled at me last night.
Running Tally Invested $100 Returned $117 POT 17%

Looked at my markets and realize that the bookies were much more accurate than what I was.Just can't afford to rely on luck anymore.Form study should have revealed that the Brisbane-Essendon Game was a no bet situation.And that Melbourne were in fact way over the odds.
So the opportunity to go back as to why my Markets were so wrong.

It seems what happened last year is what happened last year.If a team improved last year,then it did.It is not a sign that there is further improvement this year.In fact it is more likely that the team was playing on momentum and peaked out.And could very well slip back down a few rungs on the ladder.

Anyway,the mistakes I may have made could be...
Penalizing SHEEDY 10 points for being SHEEDY.Perhaps 6 points would have been better.
Penalizing Melbourne and not the Bulldogs for ground disadvantage 10 points.Maybe 6 points was better.
Melbourne minus 12 for fielding a reserves team?.They played well.So did Brisbane.No more huge penalties for young keen players.Not in the NAB cup anyway.

So with these things sorted,my other games become like this...
Hawthorn - Clarkson says he wants to win plus 3
Richmond - Wallace says he doesn't minus 3
Richmond - I don't believe Wallace plus 6

Richmond Hawthorn - 12 $1.57 $2.70
Geelong Carlton - 39 $1.16 $7.00
Adelaide Port Power - 12 $1.57 $2.70
St.Kilda Collingwood - 42 $1.14 $7.90
West Coast Fremantle - 29 $1.26 $4.80

Tried another Bet today
Double Geelong and Richmond $20 @ $2.90