7th March 2006, 10:04 AM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Posts: 550
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Sorry about the delay.
Here is how i see the cox plate being run:
Barriers are not going to play much part in a 5 horse race but in my fantasy race might and power drew the 2 and sunline the 3 which was the only significance meaning that sunline had the rail and MAP was one out.
Speed map:
rail
Elvis sunline
Makybe Diva Northerly Might and power
This race is going to be run at a solid quick tempo but not break neck pace, meaning that the diva is struggling to keep up but sunline and might and power are just bounding along in front. Come the 800 both elvis and northerly are hard ridden trying to keep up to the pace which has been turned up by the front two and the diva has had to come 3 wide. Sunline and might and power are going stride for stride ala bonecrusher and our waverly star. Rounding the home turn it is a 3 horse race but with diva having to be 3 wide since 800 in this company she is lacking her usual finishing burst and sunline and might and power have her measure by about a length.
The winner- in a flip of the coin i could not separate them but i just think sunline's 2000 win was a tiny bit more superior to MAP's 98 win so the mare gets the nod by the smallest margin
Australian cup to follow.
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