G'Day all,

Personally I will look at laying Niello for plenty. I'm not saying he can't win, but I think he is well under the odds. He's won one race which according to my Pace Advantage figures was only average when compared to some of the other 2YO races.

That view was somewhat confirmed in my opinion when he had every chance but was soundly beaten at his last start as a short odds on favourite by Exceed & Excel and Untouchable.

He has ability and is up there amongst them, but breeding and media hype has pushed his price well below what is fair and reasonable given his lead up form.

In no order at this stage I think Legally Bay, Kusi, Hasna and Secret Land are the 4 top chances...all very closely matched and difficult to split.