16th March 2006, 01:48 PM
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Suspended. Invalid e-mail address.
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Sydney
Posts: 110
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Malaysia
Oh boy, this is tough. When everyone is running strong and only 1 race and some pre-season testing to go on to assess form, how do you pick a winner? I have half a mind just to keep my hands in my pockets this weekend and not bet on the Malaysian GP at all. Fortune has it, however, that my mind has 2 halves and the other half is a drunken crack addled whore mongering mofo, who can't resist a bet every now and then.
I've been in the tank over the past few days, deprogramming myself, breaking everything down, forgetting all I know and everything I think I know about F1. [A pause for perfect Zen]. Then building that knowledge back up again from scratch with no fear nor favour. I'm not convinced that it's worked. There are too many unknown variables. I could provide very solid reasoning for any of up to 5 drivers to win in Malaysia, and another reason why all the reasons provided for each driver is total ****.
Oh well anyway... finally, after each knowable factor has been considered on it's merits and weighted against the odds, for better or worse, I have reached a conclusion:
Sportsbet
Winner
M Schumacher 3 units @ $4.00
In Bahrain Michael proved Ferrari are strong. Williams proved Bridgestone are strong. That's a winning combination.
Sportsbet
top 3
Fisichella 4 units @ $4.25
Fisi has been victim of bad luck over the last 12 months. If he is given a reliable car he will perform. This remains a good bet.
IAS
head to head: Rosberg vs. Webber
Rosberg 2 units @ $1.95
Battle of the Williams'. Rosberg was quicker than Webber in Bahrain. This rookie is smelling a lot like Raikkonen and Alonso to me. A genuine potential future champion.
CB 71.2
Last week I was at a bucks weekend, this weekend I'm attending a wedding and the following GP I'm at another wedding. So that means I have limited time to post here at the moment, but I'll do what I can with the time I've got and if possible I'll add some post qualy bets. Otherwise...
Go Schcumacher (and Fisichella)!!!
... and to a lesser extent Rosberg
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