17th March 2006, 07:58 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Sep 2005
Posts: 1,601
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Fav betting with a twist
All,
We all know the stats .. 30% of favs win. Well thats not a bad strike rate, too bad about the average dividends price.
I am going to trial a "system" which bets the fav just before jump at each meeting where the course has over the last 12 meetings (approx 100 Races) had a strike rate of 40% or greater. I will use a progression betting so that I always return a profit if the fav wins. The Bets will start at $10.
I will monitor 2 systems. One at 40% strike rate and one at 35% strike rate.
The only Course I am betting tommorrow which has a 40% strike rate is - Ascot
Courses with 35% or higher include : - Ascot
- Bathurst
- Kambla Grange
- Randwick
- Toowoomba
Wish me Luck....
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