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Old 26th March 2006, 08:55 AM
manygeese manygeese is offline
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Victoria
Posts: 105
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Quote:
Originally Posted by KennyVictor
Not quite sure what your doing with the bets there manygeese. Perhaps you could show how much you would bet on the first 20 races starting at the start of your sequence of favorites there.
KV


I doubt if it works. If it did you would beat a casino. And I was liquored last night. But say a base bet of 10.00 and a bank of $200.00

1.60 - - 2.60 - 3.10 - - - - 2.60 - - 2.80 - - 2.40 2.80 - - - 2.50 - 4.10 1.60 - 3.70 - 2.70 4.80 - 3.40 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 2.40 2.30 - - 2.30 2.90 2.80 - 2.40 - 1.60 3.20 - 3.00 2.80 -- 2.40 2.00 - 2.00 1.80 1.80 2.40 - - - - 2.60 - 1.90 1.70 - - - - - 1.60 1.60 - 2.10 2.30 - - 2.60 - - -


16.00 = + 6 = 206
- = -20 = 186
- = -10 = 176
2.60 = +16 = 192
- = -20 = 172
3.10 = +21 = 193
- = -20 = 173
-= -10 = 163
-= -10 = 153
- = -10 =143
2.60 = +16 = 159
- = -20 = 139
- = -10 =129
2.80 = + 18 = 147
- = -20 = 127
-= -10 =117
2.40 = + 14 = 131
2.80 = +36 = 167 (first two in a row strike)
- no bet = 167
- = -10 =157
- = -10 = 147
2.50 = +15 = 162
- = -20 = 142
4.10 = + 31 = 173
1.60 = +12 = 185 (second two strike in a row)
- no bet = 185
3.70 = + 27 = 212
- = -20 = 192
2.70 = + 17 = 209
4.80 = + = +285 (third two strike in a row)
- no bet = 285
3.40 = + 24 = 309
- = -20 =289
1 = -10 = 279
13 more losses = 149
2.40 = + 14 = 163
2.30 = + 26 = 189
- = no bet = 189
- = -10 = 179
2.30 = + 13 = 192
2.90 = + 38 = 230
2.80 = no bet = 230
- = -10 = 220


etc

Think it is just the same as if you only bet the favourite in a race after one where the favourite has just won. That shows a profit of 6.80 here where every race bet is 1.80 down.

Why I don't think it works is you would just back black after black at the casino and be able to win. Never toss that form guide away.
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