2nd April 2006, 07:48 PM
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Member
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Join Date: Jan 1970
Location: Victoria
Posts: 105
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Quote:
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Originally Posted by BJ
My main point when I posted that not one person has suggested that they would take their top selection at whatever odds they can get. I get the feeling that they are all selective about accepting odds, and if that is the case, then they are searching for value. Simple as that.
Just an observation from the posts on this thread.
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My post and I think others refer to the stuff surrounding forming a book your self and only backing starters on offer with the tote or actual bookie price at better odds (value) than what you have rated them at.
Most punters end up with wanting to back the horse they really think will win, not simply any horse starting at better odds than what they have assessed its chances to be.
If you are going to do that you are going to have to be prepared to bet on every race as there is no rational link between a horse starting over the odds and an improved chance of winning the race.
What you say about value for an individual selection makes sense. Obviously no-one backs a horse at money back when it can be pick off by a sniper in the grand stand if you know what I mean.
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pipped at the post
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